Junior Olympics & Div 1 NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, February 14, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte Convention Center - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
5 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 36% 11% 1%
7 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 62% 31% 8% 1%
8 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
11 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
12 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 23% 6% 1%
13 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
14 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 40% 14% 2%
15 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
16 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
17 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 58% 26% 5%
19 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 26% 9% 2% -
20 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 59% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
21 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 68% 38% 12% 2%
22 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 48% 20% 4%
23 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 24% 7% 1% -
24 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
25 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 28% 10% 2% -
26 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
27 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
28 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 55% 29% 11% 3% - -
29 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 33% 11% 2%
30 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 53% 24% 6% 1%
31 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 41% 18% 5% 1% -
32 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - -
33 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 13% 3% < 1% -
34 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
35 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
36 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 11% 2% - -
37 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
38 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
39 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
40 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 50% 22% 6% 1% -
41 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
42 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 32% 13% 3% - -
43 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 95% 80% 53% 26% 9% 2% - - - - -
44 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 6%
45 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 15% 4% -
46 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 49% 21% 5% -
47 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 39% 14% 2%
48 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
49 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 27% 10% 2% - -
50 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 15% 4% 1% -
51 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
52 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 66% 36% 11% 1%
52 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 39% 15% 3% -
54 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 8% 2% -
55 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 43% 18% 5% 1% -
56 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 13% 4% 1% - - -
57 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
58 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 65% 36% 14% 4% 1% - -
59 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 11%
60 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 74% 45% 17% 2%
61 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 20% 6% 1% -
62 LI Matthew 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
63 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
64 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 96% 82% 57% 30% 11% 2% - - - -
65 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 59% 32% 13% 3% 1% - -
66 WU Alexander 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
67 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
68 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 68% 40% 17% 4% 1% -
69 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 49% 24% 8% 2% - -
70 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 23% 7% 1% -
71 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
72 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 22% 7% 1% - -
73 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 94% 78% 52% 25% 9% 2% - - - - -
74 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 55% 27% 8% 1%
75 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 60% 32% 11% 2% -
76 CANCHEZ Federico 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 33% 13% 3% - -
77 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 48% 23% 8% 2% - - -
78 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 37% 16% 4% 1% - - -
79 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 44% 20% 5% 1% -
80 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 56% 30% 11% 3% - - - -
81 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 12% 3% 1% - - -
82 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 8% 2% - -
83 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 95% 79% 51% 24% 8% 2% - - - - -
83 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 53% 25% 8% 2% - - - -
85 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 46% 22% 7% 1% -
85 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
87 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
88 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 98% 87% 61% 31% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
89 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 44% 21% 7% 1% - - -
90 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 42% 18% 5% 1% - -
91 GAO Payton 100% 98% 86% 62% 34% 14% 4% 1% - - - - -
92 BADLANI Dev 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - -
93 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 41% 17% 5% 1% - -
94 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 74% 47% 22% 7% 1% - - - -
95 WANG Winston 100% 100% 96% 83% 60% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
96 DONG Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 37% 16% 4% 1% - - -
97 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
98 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
99 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
100 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
101 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5% -
102 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 1%
103 CHENG Ethan 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
104 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
105 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
106 SONG Noel 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
107 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
108 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 93% 60% 19% 3% -
109 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
110 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
111 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
112 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
113 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
114 GUTH Joseph 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
115 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
115 LEE Eugene 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
117 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
118 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
119 KIM Harrison 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
120 RAJ Jay 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
121 ZHANG Jacob 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
122 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
123 LIU Derek 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
124 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
125 DOELL Ethan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
126 LU Royce 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
127 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
128 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
129 KIM Jackson 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
130 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
131 GHEDINI Luca 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
131 YAO Bradley 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
133 HE Patrick 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
134 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 19% 2%
135 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
136 SMITH Grant D. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
137 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
138 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
139 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
140 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
141 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
142 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
143 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
144 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
145 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
146 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
147 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
148 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
149 WANG Aaron 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 1%
150 YUE Jackson 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
151 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
152 BLACK Zachary 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
153 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
154 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
155 PAN Henry 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
156 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
157 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
158 CHUANG Oscar 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
159 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
160 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
161 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
161 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
163 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
164 LI Toby Muhua Li 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
165 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 8%
166 BAILEY William F. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
167 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
168 MORROW Brenden 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
169 YAP Nathan 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
170 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
171 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
172 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
173 PARK Sky 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
173 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
175 FINLEY Dylan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
176 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
177 ANDRIC Borna 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
178 JURMAN Therin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
179 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
180 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 2%
181 SONG Austin 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
182 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
183 EDISON Ansel 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
184 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
184 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
186 KIM Brian 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
187 WANG Rory 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
188 LI Jett 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
189 JIANG Bowang 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
190 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
191 YOON Junhyeok 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
192 GUO Justin 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
193 BAI Brian 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% -
194 LEE Christopher T. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
195 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
196 FENG Michael 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
197 CHALUT Etienne 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1%
198 LI Samuel 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
199 JAUME Andrei 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
200 VIVEROS Evan 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
201 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
202 KIM Aiden 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
203 BARRETT Austin 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
204 MILLER Jordan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
205 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
206 YANG Dylan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
206 KIM Teo 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
206 SMOLICH Marat 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
209 LI Ayren 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
210 TALASILA Arush 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
211 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
212 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
213 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
214 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
214 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
216 WANG Ethan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
217 MILLER Dillon 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
218 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
219 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
220 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 22% 2% - - -
221 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% - -
222 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
223 MAO Lucas 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
223 TAN Xinlai 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
225 PECK Quinn 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
226 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
227 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
228 POLONI Giovanni 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
229 CHO Xzander 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
229 CHOI Ethan 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
229 CLARK Benjamin 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
229 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
233 SPRINGFIELD Landon A. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
233 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
233 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.