Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | CHENG Jonathan | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
2 | PELOSKY Zack B. | V V V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
3 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
3 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
5 | ORVANANOS Jorge | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
6 | DAI Jonathan T. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
6 | SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
8 | HOOSHI Jayden C. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
9 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
10 | BRUK Peter J. | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
11 | BAS Liam | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
12 | PAE Jonathan L. | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
13 | PAE Brian L. | V V V D V V | V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
14 | MARX Oscar L. | V D V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
15 | CHIN Julian S. | V V D V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
16 | KEE Andrew L. | V V V D D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
17 | OH Sean | D V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
18 | JIANG Owen | D V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
19 | GORBACHEV Alexander | V V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
20 | RUSADZE Nickolas | V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
21 | GEOGHEGAN Ronan | V V V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
22 | ZHAI Jeffrey | V V V V D D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
23 | LEE Joshua | V D D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
24 | TOLBA Abdelrahman | V V V V D D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
25 | HONG Issac | D V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
26 | CHEN Kyle P. | V V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
27 | TAHOUN Mostafa | D V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
28 | DOUGLAS Oscar M. | D V V D D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
29 | LEE Aidan | D V D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
30 | YANG Luao | D V V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
31 | GOOR Julian | V D V D D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
32 | CULLIVAN Justice | D D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
33 | KNOEPFFLER Alex | V D V V V D | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
34 | LONG Connor M. | V V V D D V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
35 | ZHEN Ethan | V D V D D V | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
35 | XIE Brandon | V V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
37 | CATINO Brennen | D V D D V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
38 | ZHOU Leon | D D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
39 | QIAN Jason H. | V D D V D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
40 | QIU Daniel | D D V D V V | D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
41 | REEVES Liam | D D V D V V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
42 | ANTON Nathaniel | V D D D D V | D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
42 | GUO Sean | V D D V D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
42 | LEWIS Akhil | D D V V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
45 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | D D V D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
45 | XU Andy P. | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
47 | WANG Jackson | V D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
48 | TANG Owen S. | D D D V V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
49 | PO Oliver | D V V D D D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
50 | JI Aidan Y. | D V D D V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
51 | TANG August L. | V D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
52 | MAIER Finn | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
53 | GAO William | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
54 | GUO Justin | D D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
55 | HIGGIN Matthew | D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
56 | TORRES Treston | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
57 | KNIZHNIK David | D D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
58 | ORLOV Dmitriy | D V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
59 | SOLDATOV Faddey | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
60 | SONG Austin | D D D D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
61 | BADLANI Dev | D D D D D | V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
62 | WECHSLER Jacob | D D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
63 | TIKHAEV Alexander | D D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
64 | DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. | D D D D D D | V D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
65 | KOKE Matthew C. | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
65 | LEWIS Nikhil I. | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
67 | RADKE Aaron K. | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
68 | ZHANG Alex | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
69 | TANG Albert | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.