Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, October 8, 2018 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Jonathan - - - - 2% 22% 75%
2 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
5 ORVANANOS Jorge - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
6 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
6 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - - 3% 19% 47% 32%
8 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
9 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
10 BRUK Peter J. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
11 BAS Liam - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
12 PAE Jonathan L. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
13 PAE Brian L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
14 MARX Oscar L. - - - 5% 30% 65%
15 CHIN Julian S. 1% 14% 40% 35% 10% -
16 KEE Andrew L. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
17 OH Sean - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
18 JIANG Owen - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
19 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
20 RUSADZE Nickolas - 1% 8% 35% 47% 9%
21 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
22 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
23 LEE Joshua - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
24 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
25 HONG Issac - 7% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
26 CHEN Kyle P. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
28 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
29 LEE Aidan - 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% -
30 YANG Luao - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
31 GOOR Julian - 2% 18% 39% 32% 9% -
32 CULLIVAN Justice 9% 35% 40% 14% 2% -
33 KNOEPFFLER Alex - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 16%
34 LONG Connor M. 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
35 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
35 XIE Brandon 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
37 CATINO Brennen 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
38 ZHOU Leon 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
39 QIAN Jason H. - 7% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
40 QIU Daniel 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
41 REEVES Liam 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
42 ANTON Nathaniel - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 7%
42 GUO Sean - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
42 LEWIS Akhil - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
45 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
45 XU Andy P. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
47 WANG Jackson 2% 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
48 TANG Owen S. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
49 PO Oliver - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
50 JI Aidan Y. 20% 45% 28% 6% 1% - -
51 TANG August L. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
52 MAIER Finn 4% 25% 45% 22% 3% -
53 GAO William 31% 48% 18% 3% - - -
54 GUO Justin - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
55 HIGGIN Matthew 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
56 TORRES Treston 23% 50% 23% 4% - - -
57 KNIZHNIK David 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
58 ORLOV Dmitriy 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
59 SOLDATOV Faddey 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
60 SONG Austin 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
61 BADLANI Dev 37% 44% 17% 3% - -
62 WECHSLER Jacob 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
63 TIKHAEV Alexander 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
64 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 19% 50% 25% 5% - - -
65 KOKE Matthew C. 43% 43% 13% 1% - - -
65 LEWIS Nikhil I. 51% 42% 6% - - - -
67 RADKE Aaron K. 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
68 ZHANG Alex 7% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
69 TANG Albert 38% 48% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.