October NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, October 29, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
3 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
7 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
8 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
9 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
10 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5%
12 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
13 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 19%
14 MAHESH Tarun 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
15 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
16 CHOI Aleksey 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
17 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
19 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
20 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
21 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
22 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
23 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
24 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
25 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 95% 64% 22% 3%
26 WALIGORA Sebastian 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
27 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
28 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
29 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
30 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
31 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1%
32 PAK Elliot 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
33 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
34 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
35 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
36 WANG owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
37 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
38 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
39 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
40 KIM Sullivan 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
41 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
42 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
43 MUGA Aiden 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
44 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
45 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
46 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
47 HESSE Hans 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
48 KARNAS Karol 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
49 HEADRICK Lance 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
50 WALIGORA Krystian 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
51 DOWDELL Riley 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
52 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
53 GAO Zachary 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
54 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
55 SHA Michael 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
56 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
57 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
58 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
59 ZHU Eric 100% 84% 43% 12% 1% -
60 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
61 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
62 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
63 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2%
64 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 94% 75% 38% 8%
65 GOMEZ Chase S. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
66 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
67 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
68 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
69 PETERSON Matthew 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
70 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
71 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
72 ZWICKER Jacob 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
73 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
74 MURPHY Aidan 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
75 BUTLER Joel 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
76 ZI QIN Shang 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
77 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
78 WANG Yi Nan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
79 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
80 COUSINS Cameron 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
81 YU Austin 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
82 CHUNG Andrew 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
83 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
84 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
85 XIONG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
86 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
86 JUNG Won Joon 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
88 LEE DoWon 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
89 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
90 DONDISCH ilan 100% 39% 5% - - -
91 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
92 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
93 MIHALACHE David 100% 97% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
94 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
95 HU Robert J. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
96 DAS Roshan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
97 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
98 RIECK Brennan 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
99 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
100 PARRA Sebastian 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
101 BUERGISSER Tae 100% 25% 3% - - -
102 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 80% 24% 3% - -
103 KIM Matthew 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
104 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
105 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.