October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, October 31, 2021 at 1:30 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
5 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
6 ARCHER Kristjan - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
7 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
8 LOUIE Bryce - - - 2% 11% 40% 48%
9 HASSAN Mohamed H. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
10 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 4% 32% 64%
11 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
12 XIAO Enoch A. - - 4% 22% 49% 25%
13 CHEN Earnest P. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 23%
14 JURKIEWICZ Jan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
15 KIM Nicholas W. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
16 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
17 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
19 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
20 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
21 CHEN James P. - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
22 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
23 KUMBLA Samarth - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
24 YU Eric W. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
26 FUKUDA Renzo K. 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
27 LIU Justin - - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
28 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
29 OURSLER Jack - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
30 LI Jiaan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
31 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
32 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
33 MATHIEU Adam - - - - 4% 35% 61%
34 KELLY William J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
35 BOROWIAK Arwen - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
36 GRIFFITH JACK - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
37 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
38 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - - 1% 14% 47% 38%
39 KWON Ethan - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
40 SCHENKEL Eli A. - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
41 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - 4% 19% 39% 33% 4%
42 IVERSON Shane D. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
43 KASI Sanjay - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
44 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 2% 13% 45% 40%
45 KORABLIN Anton - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
46 XIAO Ethan J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
47 BANERJEE ANUP - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
48 PARK Luke J. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
49 HAY Gavin - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
50 LIU Patrick - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
51 SHIN Philip D. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
51 JANG Jaewon - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
53 REALS Alden D. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
54 DAI Jonathan T. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
55 PADUA Carlos M. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
56 LI Richard - 4% 21% 40% 28% 7%
57 JEON Caleb A. 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
58 CHEN Andrew - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
59 BURKE Spencer W. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
59 LEVY Jacob M. - 2% 14% 41% 37% 6% -
61 BROSZUS Blake J. - - - 2% 18% 58% 22%
62 BING Charles 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
63 SONG Aiden S. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
64 DUDEY Michael - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
65 LO Conrad - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
65 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% < 1%
67 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
68 LEVIN Nestor R. - - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
69 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
69 YANG Luao - 2% 16% 41% 33% 8% 1%
71 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
72 DANIEL Ashton - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
73 KO Brian J. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
74 TANG Owen S. 12% 38% 38% 11% 1% < 1% -
75 COLON Cesar L. - 1% 9% 35% 48% 6%
76 LIU Niles J. - - 6% 29% 51% 14%
77 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
78 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
79 GRIFFIN John O. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
80 XIAO EDWARD 6% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
81 CHEN Allen - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 2%
82 VOGLER Justin K. - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
83 AHN Jun 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
84 FLANAGAN James 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
84 LI Owen 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
86 SCHENCK Koen M. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
87 MITCHELL Philip D. 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4% -
88 AYUPOV Ilya - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
89 KAO Castor T. - 1% 11% 37% 38% 11% 1%
90 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
91 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
92 UM Ethan A. - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
93 DIERKS Kian 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
94 SONG Leonardo T. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
95 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
96 BAE Kevin 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
97 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 1% 12% 37% 38% 11% 1%
98 BAS Liam - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
99 WAN Jason 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
100 RUSADZE Nickolas - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
101 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
102 KATAYAMA Kevin - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
103 KIM Brandon J. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
104 YU Vinni - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
105 GRASS Andrew E. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
105 CHEN Ziyuan - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
107 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - 3% 18% 43% 30% 5% -
108 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
109 DICKSON Farr R. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
110 SHAFAIE Ali 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
111 STANLEY Mason B. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
112 BRUK Peter J. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
112 MAGIDSON Gabriel 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
114 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
115 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
116 SICHITIU Alexander 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
117 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 9% 34% 42% 13% 1%
118 ZHANG Andy W. 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
119 BALL James T. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
120 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 3% 21% 42% 28% 6% -
121 KIM Yonjae 3% 21% 44% 27% 5% -
122 SINGH Dayaal - 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
122 KLOSTERMANN Max 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
124 PAIK Hyun K. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
125 JAIN Aditya 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
126 GARLINGTON David 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
127 DESAI Nalin H. 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
128 DOBBINS Evan W. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
129 YI Stephen K. 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
130 WU Alexander 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
131 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
132 BAE Junnie 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
133 ONIK Elijah T. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
134 ZOBEL Eric H. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
134 GAO William 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
136 WEISS Barrett A. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
136 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
138 THAYER Jake T. 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
139 TSANG Matthew K. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
140 LUH Ethan K. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
141 HUTH Mitchell 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
142 LOCKWOOD Owen - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
142 ZHANG Yun Isaac 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
144 GRANT Lachlan K. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
145 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
146 OH Samuel H. 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
147 ARIZA Isaac A. - 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
148 ZHAI Jeffrey 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% -
149 ZHANG Henry C. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
150 HUTH Jacob 9% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
151 WONG Garrick G. 34% 42% 20% 4% - -
152 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
153 KOBAL Maximilian 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
154 LAURICELLA Douglas 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
155 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
156 FUKUDA Alessio R. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
157 HOBSON Aaron K. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
157 CHIN Julian S. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
159 WU Jerry 2% 17% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
160 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
161 NAGER Noah 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
162 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
163 PETER Griffin - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
163 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
163 LEE Jacob 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
166 HSIUNG Richie 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
167 DEGROOT Blake 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
168 YU Anders 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
168 TSAY Jeremy M. 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
168 SEZER Kaya 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
168 HOLLAND Niklas 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
172 BAILEY William F. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
173 CANNON Caiden C. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
174 LOVIN Vlad 56% 37% 7% 1% - - -
175 LEE Aidan 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
176 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
176 LI Matthew 35% 45% 17% 2% - -
178 DORAN Wesley C. 7% 37% 37% 15% 3% -
179 LIN Dashiell 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
180 SHA Yi Peng 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
181 JAUME Andrei 24% 48% 24% 4% - -
182 LU Yikai 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
183 DU Samuel R. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
184 WU Nicholas 2% 13% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
185 MICKELSON Jacob P. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
186 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
187 CANO Marcos E. 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
188 FARQUHARSON Cole 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
188 KIM Ryan Y. 22% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
188 LIN Michael 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
191 FU Samuel Y. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
192 WILLIAMS Connor J. 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
193 STRUGAR Marcus A. 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
194 WU Alexander 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
194 LI Raphael C. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
194 LI Eric 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
197 KEE Andrew L. 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
198 DAVIS Christopher M. 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
199 CHENG Matthew S. 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
199 UPTON Craig 31% 49% 18% 2% - - -
201 LE Vyn A. 30% 46% 20% 3% - - -
202 KIM Derek A. 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
202 WOO Christian 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
204 GOOR Julian 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
205 JACOBS Tyler M. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
206 ROUNTREE Rob 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
207 VAZQUEZ Zander 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
208 KUO Evan 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
209 BELLUOMO David C. 14% 45% 31% 9% 1% - -
209 JI Aidan Y. 17% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
211 ROSE Ben 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
212 SUNG Chang-Han S. 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
213 GLOVER James 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
214 CHEN-LI David C. 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
215 CANO Diego A. 48% 39% 11% 2% - - -
215 ANDRIONO Raymond Rafael 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
217 JIANG Owen 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
218 LI Edward 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
219 KUZMAK Michael J. 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
220 ZHENG zhe 61% 33% 6% - - -
221 TAN Christien 34% 42% 20% 4% 1% - -
221 PRASANNA Advaith 37% 47% 14% 1% - - -
223 CLAYMAN John A. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.