October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, October 31, 2021 at 1:30 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
7 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
8 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
9 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
10 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
11 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
12 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
13 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
14 JURKIEWICZ Jan 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
15 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
16 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
17 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
19 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
20 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
21 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
22 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
23 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
24 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
26 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
27 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
28 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
29 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
30 LI Jiaan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
31 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
32 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
33 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 61%
34 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
35 BOROWIAK Arwen 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
36 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
37 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
38 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
39 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
40 SCHENKEL Eli A. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
41 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 4%
42 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 10%
43 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
44 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
45 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
46 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
47 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
48 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
49 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
50 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
51 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
51 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
53 REALS Alden D. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
54 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
55 PADUA Carlos M. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
56 LI Richard 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
57 JEON Caleb A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
58 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
59 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
59 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7% -
61 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 22%
62 BING Charles 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
63 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
64 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
65 LO Conrad 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
65 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% < 1%
67 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
68 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
69 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 6%
69 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8% 1%
71 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
72 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
73 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
74 TANG Owen S. 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% < 1% -
75 COLON Cesar L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 6%
76 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 14%
77 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
78 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
79 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
80 XIAO EDWARD 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% - -
81 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
82 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
83 AHN Jun 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
84 FLANAGAN James 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
84 LI Owen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
86 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
87 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
88 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
89 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12% 1%
90 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
91 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
92 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
93 DIERKS Kian 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
94 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
95 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
96 BAE Kevin 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
97 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 87% 49% 11% 1%
98 BAS Liam 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
99 WAN Jason 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
100 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
101 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
102 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
103 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
104 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
105 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
105 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
107 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 5% -
108 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
109 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
110 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
111 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
112 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
112 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
114 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
115 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
116 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 96% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
117 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 90% 56% 14% 1%
118 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
119 BALL James T. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
120 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
121 KIM Yonjae 100% 97% 76% 32% 5% -
122 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
122 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
124 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
125 JAIN Aditya 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
126 GARLINGTON David 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
127 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
128 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
129 YI Stephen K. 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
130 WU Alexander 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
131 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
132 BAE Junnie 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
133 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
134 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 3%
134 GAO William 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
136 WEISS Barrett A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
136 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
138 THAYER Jake T. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
139 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 7% 1%
140 LUH Ethan K. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
141 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
142 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
142 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
144 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
145 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
146 OH Samuel H. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
147 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
148 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
149 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
150 HUTH Jacob 100% 91% 54% 15% 2% -
151 WONG Garrick G. 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
152 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
153 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
154 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
155 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
156 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
157 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
157 CHIN Julian S. 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
159 WU Jerry 100% 98% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
160 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
161 NAGER Noah 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
162 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
163 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
163 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
163 LEE Jacob 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
166 HSIUNG Richie 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
167 DEGROOT Blake 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
168 YU Anders 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
168 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
168 SEZER Kaya 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
168 HOLLAND Niklas 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
172 BAILEY William F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
173 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
174 LOVIN Vlad 100% 44% 7% 1% - - -
175 LEE Aidan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
176 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
176 LI Matthew 100% 65% 20% 2% - -
178 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 93% 55% 18% 3% -
179 LIN Dashiell 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
180 SHA Yi Peng 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
181 JAUME Andrei 100% 76% 28% 4% - -
182 LU Yikai 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
183 DU Samuel R. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
184 WU Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 2% -
185 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
186 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 8% -
187 CANO Marcos E. 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
188 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
188 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
188 LIN Michael 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
191 FU Samuel Y. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
192 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
193 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
194 WU Alexander 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
194 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
194 LI Eric 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
197 KEE Andrew L. 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
198 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
199 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 95% 70% 33% 10% 1% -
199 UPTON Craig 100% 69% 20% 2% - - -
201 LE Vyn A. 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
202 KIM Derek A. 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
202 WOO Christian 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
204 GOOR Julian 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
205 JACOBS Tyler M. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
206 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
207 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
208 KUO Evan 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
209 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
209 JI Aidan Y. 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
211 ROSE Ben 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
212 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
213 GLOVER James 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
214 CHEN-LI David C. 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
215 CANO Diego A. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
215 ANDRIONO Raymond Rafael 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
217 JIANG Owen 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
218 LI Edward 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
219 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
220 ZHENG zhe 100% 39% 6% - - -
221 TAN Christien 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
221 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 63% 16% 1% - - -
223 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.