American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 SERAJIAN Abdollah - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 MARCHANT Albert J. - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 WU Joseph 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 SHAH S Ayush - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 19% 5%
7 O'HARA Keegan J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
8 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
9 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
10 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
11 PARK Ian C. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 KOKENGE Clark - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
13 GAO Daniel 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
14 ADLER Ian B. - 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
15 LEE Shwan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
16 BLAKE Randall K. 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
17 JIN Alexander - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
18 ZHAO Luhan 4% 19% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
19 LIU John 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
20 KIM Byung 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
21 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
22 BENACK Steven M. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
23 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
24 KUCZAJDA Matthew 1% 9% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
25 STEVENS Daniel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
27 HE Lawrence 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
28 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
29 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
30 WU Jason 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
31 SIMPSON Patrick 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
32 LEHR William D. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
33 STUSNICK Hunter - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
34 RHYU Kozmo - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
35 WANG Tristan 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
36 WU Byron 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
37 COHEN Jared E. - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
38 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
38 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
40 LUKANYUK Lorence 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
41 HERMANSON David B. 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
42 ROBERTS Samuel E. 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
43 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
44 JIN Owen - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
45 DISIMONE David Z. 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
45 SKAALAND Will 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
47 NIXON Christian A. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
48 JUN Jaywu 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
49 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
50 TIRRELL Justin J. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
50 STOTT Donovan R. - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
52 MISHIMA Torata 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
53 GREGORY Abram 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
53 PAHLAVI Kamran 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
55 WISCHNIA Jacob I. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
56 LIANG Aaron 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
57 BASOK Nikita 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
58 PARK Vincent 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
59 PARK Frederick 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
60 SVIBEN Cameron 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% 1% -
61 JOSEPH William 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
62 KOKENGE Reid 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
63 PARK Brian 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
64 LI Jeffrey 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
65 CLARK Ethan J. 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
66 WU Jonathan 63% 31% 6% - - -
67 HENSAL Nicolas A. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
68 GAMBINO Robert A. 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
69 MAGDA Daniel 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
70 MILLER Kurt 58% 35% 6% 1% - - -
71 DIVERIS Joseph 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
72 CHOE Andrew 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
73 JENNINGS Adin 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
74 WANG Eric S 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.