American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 SERAJIAN Abdollah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 WU Joseph 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
5 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 96% 84% 56% 24% 5%
7 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
9 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
10 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
11 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
12 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
13 GAO Daniel 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
14 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
15 LEE Shwan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
16 BLAKE Randall K. 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
17 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
18 ZHAO Luhan 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
19 LIU John 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
20 KIM Byung 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
21 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
22 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
23 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
24 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
25 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
26 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
27 HE Lawrence 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
28 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
29 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
30 WU Jason 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 8% 1%
31 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
32 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 14% 1%
33 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
34 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
35 WANG Tristan 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
36 WU Byron 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
37 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
38 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
38 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
40 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
41 HERMANSON David B. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
42 ROBERTS Samuel E. 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
43 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
44 JIN Owen 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 36% 9%
45 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
45 SKAALAND Will 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
47 NIXON Christian A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
48 JUN Jaywu 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
49 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
50 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
50 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
52 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
53 GREGORY Abram 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
53 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
55 WISCHNIA Jacob I. 100% 94% 72% 40% 14% 3% -
56 LIANG Aaron 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
57 BASOK Nikita 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
58 PARK Vincent 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
59 PARK Frederick 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
60 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
61 JOSEPH William 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
62 KOKENGE Reid 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
63 PARK Brian 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
64 LI Jeffrey 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
65 CLARK Ethan J. 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
66 WU Jonathan 100% 37% 6% - - -
67 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
68 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
69 MAGDA Daniel 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
70 MILLER Kurt 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
71 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
72 CHOE Andrew 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
73 JENNINGS Adin 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
74 WANG Eric S 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.