USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
5 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
6 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
7 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
8 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
12 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
13 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
14 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
15 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
15 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
17 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
17 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
20 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
21 WANG Winston 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
22 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
23 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
23 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
25 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
26 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
27 SONG Austin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
28 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
29 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
30 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
31 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
32 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
33 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
34 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
35 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 12%
36 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
37 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
38 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
39 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
40 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
41 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
42 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
43 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
44 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
44 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
46 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
47 PONS Diego 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
48 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
48 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 7%
50 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
51 LEE Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
52 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 15%
53 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
54 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
55 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 5%
55 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
57 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
58 LI Ayren 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
59 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
60 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 9% 1%
60 WANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
62 OH Jaden 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
63 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
64 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
65 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
66 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
66 PAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
68 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
69 SHEN Owen 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
70 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
71 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
72 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7% -
73 ZHENG Zhe 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 6%
74 CHEN Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
75 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1%
76 KETTELLE John 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
77 LING Eddie 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
78 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 14%
79 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
80 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
81 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
82 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
83 TANG Albert 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
84 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
85 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
86 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
87 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
88 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
89 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
90 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
91 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% - -
92 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
93 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
94 NICOLL William 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
95 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
96 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
97 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
98 TANG August L. 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% -
99 MA Bryant 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 1%
100 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
100 WANG Brayden 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 1%
102 SONG Noel 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
103 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
104 PARK Rion 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
105 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
106 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 1%
107 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
108 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
109 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
110 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
111 PARK Gabriel 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
112 NGAI Julian 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
113 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
114 ZHOU Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
115 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 4%
116 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
117 LI Samuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
118 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
119 PARRISH Evan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
120 PARK Sky 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
121 LI Jett 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
122 CHEN Ethan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
123 WANG Brian 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
124 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
125 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
126 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
127 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
128 REICHEL Ezra 100% 96% 56% 17% 2% -
129 MCISAAC Finn 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
130 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
131 GERRISH William 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
132 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
133 LEE Dylan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
134 STRINGER David 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
135 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 99% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
136 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3% -
137 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
138 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
139 LO Preston 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
140 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 1%
141 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13% -
142 EDISON Ansel 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
143 WONG Evan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
144 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 99% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
145 TANG Terry 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
145 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
147 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
147 DENG David 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
149 WU Alistair 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
150 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
151 CHUANG Oscar 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
152 KIM Brian 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
153 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
154 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1% -
155 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
156 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 95% 65% 20% 3% -
156 TALASILA Arush 100% 90% 48% 12% 1% -
158 CHENG Ethan 100% 99% 85% 47% 10% 1%
159 LI Allen 100% 97% 75% 34% 6% -
160 JURMAN Therin 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
161 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
162 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
163 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 98% 80% 37% 7% -
164 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
164 WANG Julang 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
166 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 98% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
167 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
168 KIM Harrison 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
168 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
170 LAO Kevin 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
171 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
172 RUBIN Max 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1% -
173 YI William 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
174 CHO Xzander 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
175 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
175 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
177 MOE Annan 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
178 FANG Jaden 100% 97% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
179 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
180 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
181 XU Ethan 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
182 BLACK Zachary 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
182 YU William 100% 79% 26% 3% - - -
184 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
185 TULYAG Azim 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
186 LIU Ryan 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
187 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
188 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 98% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
188 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
190 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
191 DULAI Angad 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
192 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
193 LU Kevin 100% 92% 45% 10% 1% -
194 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 45% 8% - - -
195 NAIDL Josiah 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
196 KENNEDY Michael 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
197 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
197 ZENG Rick 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
199 ZOU Yuming 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
200 ZHENG Harrison 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
201 LEE Ethan 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
202 CHOI Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
203 CHEW Aaron 100% 92% 58% 20% 4% - -
204 DHOKTE Neev 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
205 ZHOU Ryan 100% 89% 55% 19% 4% - -
206 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
207 TAMIYA Masao 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
208 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
209 JIA Jing Yu 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
210 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
211 BLEIL Tyler 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
211 LE Jacob H. 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
213 QUINTERO Julian 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
214 BARRETT Austin 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
215 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
216 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
217 YUE Jackson 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
217 LIU ERIC 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
217 LEE Charles T 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
220 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
221 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
222 CHEN Matthew 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
223 YANG Charles 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
223 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
225 KOE Beckett 100% 97% 77% 31% 6% - -
226 BAI Brian 100% 28% 3% - - - -
227 MEMMOTT Ben 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
227 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
229 KUANG Aaron 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
230 BELOKON Sammy 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
231 FAN Yuchen 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
232 SHAW Spencer 100% 82% 32% 5% - - -
233 ROBINSON Ezekiel 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
234 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 14% 1% - - -
235 UHLIG Cole 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
236 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
236 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 89% 43% 8% 1% -
238 TJON Calum 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
239 CHENG Austyn 100% 78% 27% 4% - - -
240 DANIEL Nikith 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
241 MILES Greyson 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
241 CHAN Joseph 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
241 BHAN Amar 100% 25% 2% - - - -
244 HASHMI Mushaf 100% 96% 65% 9% 1% - -
245 GORDON William L. 100% 76% 25% 3% - - -
245 ZHANG Graham 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
245 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
248 LUAN Tian 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
248 HICKEY Connor 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
250 PAN Edwin 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
251 WINGLER Cole 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
252 BANKA Keshav 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
253 SUN Neo 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
253 SCHUMANN Benjamin 100% 27% 3% - - - -
255 YANG Ethan J. 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
255 BOCKSNICK John Robert 100% 31% 4% - - - -
255 BARDEN Cooper 100% 25% 3% - - - -
255 VENZON Gavin 100% 11% - - - - -
255 LIN Kevin 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.