January NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, January 8, 2022 at 2:00 PM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
2 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
7 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
8 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
9 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
9 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
9 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
12 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
13 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
14 LI Raphael C. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
15 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
16 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
17 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
18 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
19 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
20 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
21 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
22 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
23 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
24 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 21%
25 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
26 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59% 14%
27 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
27 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
29 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
29 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
31 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
32 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
33 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
34 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
35 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 7%
36 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
37 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
38 SHIH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44% 8%
39 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
40 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
41 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 3%
42 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
43 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
44 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
44 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
46 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
47 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
48 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
49 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
50 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
51 LI Owen 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
52 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
53 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
54 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
55 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
56 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
57 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
58 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
59 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 5%
60 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
61 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
62 SOTO Ulises G 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
63 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
64 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
65 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
66 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
67 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
68 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
69 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
70 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
71 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
72 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
73 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
74 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
75 BAS Liam 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
76 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
77 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
78 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
79 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
80 BALL James T. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
80 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 26% 2%
80 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
83 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
83 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
85 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
86 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
87 WU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
88 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 4%
89 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 2%
90 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
91 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
91 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
93 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 3%
93 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
95 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
96 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
97 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
98 AHN Jun 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
99 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
99 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
101 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
102 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
103 TANG Owen S. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
104 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
106 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 1%
107 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
107 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
109 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 21%
110 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
111 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
111 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
113 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
114 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 11% 1%
115 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
116 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
117 MIN Eric 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
118 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
119 DEGROOT Blake 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
120 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
121 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 1%
122 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
123 GOBBO Alexander 100% 98% 67% 22% 3% -
124 GAO William 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
125 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14% -
126 GEE Brandon 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
127 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
128 KIM Aaron J. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
129 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
130 BING Charles 100% 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% -
131 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
132 WONG Luke S. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
133 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
134 TEH Ryan 100% 70% 25% 4% < 1% - -
135 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
136 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
137 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
138 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
139 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1%
140 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
141 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 98% 73% 28% 5% - -
141 CANLAS Nathan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
143 HSIUNG Richie 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
144 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 94% 59% 20% 3% -
145 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 97% 47% 10% 1% - -
146 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
147 LIN Michael 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
148 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
149 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
150 LIM Charles Q. 100% 87% 43% 9% 1% - -
151 SONG Bryan 100% 98% 59% 13% 1% - -
152 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
153 CHENG Nathan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
154 YU Anders 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
155 MOHAMED Amir 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
156 WOO Christian 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
157 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 99% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
158 KANG Anthony 100% 99% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
159 GONG Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
160 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% -
161 LUH Ethan K. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
161 KUO Evan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
163 MA Andrew 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
164 LU Yikai 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16% 1%
165 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 1%
165 UPTON Craig 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -
167 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 96% 72% 29% 6% - -
168 TSAI Max W. 100% 94% 52% 12% 1% - -
169 DETERING Julian 100% 97% 74% 28% 5% - -
170 CANO Marcos E. 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
171 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
171 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
173 ZHENG zhe 100% 96% 57% 16% 2% - -
174 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
175 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
176 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% -
177 JI Aidan Y. 100% 99% 84% 44% 9% 1% -
178 MOHAMED Murad 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
179 KIM Jackson 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
180 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
181 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
181 LI Matthew 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% -
183 SHEN Owen 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
184 SIU Aiden 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
185 SHA Yi Peng 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
186 WANG Ethan 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
187 TAN Christien 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
188 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 99% 84% 44% 9% 1% -
189 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 98% 42% 8% 1% - -
190 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% - -
191 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 99% 68% 20% 2% - -
192 LE Vyn A. 100% 84% 36% 7% 1% - -
193 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 87% 36% 6% - - -
194 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 99% 32% 4% - - -
195 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
196 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
196 ALFARO Sergio Raul O. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
196 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
199 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
199 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
199 OH Jaden 100% 88% 33% 6% - - -
202 MORALES Ian N. 100% 97% 62% 18% 2% -
203 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 84% 39% 8% 1% - -
204 NGUYEN Nish 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 4% -
205 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
206 BAEK David 100% 95% 36% 5% - - -
206 MYERS Dean 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
208 YEE Johnathan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
209 ZHANG Jiening (Jason) 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
210 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
211 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
212 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
213 JAIN Aditya 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
214 MA Bryant 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
215 HARRIS Otto 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
216 TUAN Evan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
216 LANG Dong Lin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
218 LI Avery Peihong 100% 83% 36% 6% - - -
219 YU Leo 100% 40% 6% - - - -
219 EDISON Ansel 100% 16% 1% - - - -
221 CHUANG Kian J. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
221 HARRIS Rhonen 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
223 LI Jett 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
223 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
223 SEEDS Edward T. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
223 KIM Jonah 100% 8% - - - - -
227 SMITH Grant D. 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
228 PETERSON Lucas 100% 10% - - - - -
229 CHEN Justin K. 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
229 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 20% 1% - - - -
229 PORTER Rory 100% 7% - - - - -
232 ALBINALI Eissa 100% 1% - - - - -
233 BARTELS Milo 100% 20% 1% - - -
233 GRANADOS Luis 100% 25% 2% - - - -
235 MAK Osman K. 100% 27% 2% - - - -
236 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 3% - - - - -
236 LI Matthew 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
238 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 33% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.