Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
2 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
5 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
6 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 29%
7 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
8 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 39%
9 SU Caleb 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
10 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
11 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
12 CHONG Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
13 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 25%
14 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
15 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
16 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
17 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
18 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
19 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
20 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
21 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
22 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
23 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
24 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
25 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 83% 43% 9% 1%
26 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
27 WANG Trontour 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
28 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
29 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
30 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
31 WANG Clayton 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
32 ALLEY Everett T 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
33 HEADRICK Lance 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
34 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
35 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
36 SINGH Aryaman 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
37 KIM Taeho 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
38 ZHANG Caden 100% 98% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
39 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
40 LEE JoonWon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
41 CAO Albert 100% 100% 94% 71% 37% 10% 1%
42 MAHESH Tarun 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
43 LAM Bill 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
44 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
45 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
46 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
47 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 93% 62% 23% 3% -
47 LIN Harrison 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
49 FU Ethan 100% 95% 60% 18% 2% -
50 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 36% 5% - - -
51 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
52 MEGGERS Davin 100% 68% 20% 2% - - -
53 KANG EUNWOO 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
54 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
55 SELLAR Ian 100% 68% 20% 3% - - -
55 SO Lorenzo 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
57 CAO Brad 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 1%
58 HU Robert J. 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
59 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.