October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 18%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
10 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 81% 53% 23% 4%
11 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
12 JURKIEWICZ Jan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
13 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
14 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
15 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 51% 26% 9% 2% -
16 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 67% 34% 9%
17 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
18 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
19 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
20 GU Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 2% - -
21 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
22 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
24 CHEN Andrew 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
25 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
26 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 36% 11% 1%
27 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 22%
28 YANG Luao 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
29 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
30 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 48% 23% 8% 2% - - -
31 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
32 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
33 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
33 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
35 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
36 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
37 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 49% 18% 3%
38 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 22% 7% 1% -
39 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
40 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 13% 2%
41 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
42 BOJANOV Boris 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 26% 10% 3% 1% - -
43 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 59% 32% 11% 2%
44 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 57% 31% 12% 3% - -
45 KAO Castor T. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
46 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
47 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 43% 19% 6% 1% - - -
48 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 30% 10% 2% -
48 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
50 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 45% 19% 4% -
51 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 39% 17% 4% 1% -
52 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 43% 18% 5% 1% - -
53 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 69% 42% 18% 5% 1% - -
53 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
53 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% 1%
53 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - -
57 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - -
58 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 3% - - -
58 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 24% 9% 2% - -
60 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 12% 3% - -
61 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 45% 20% 5% 1%
62 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 48% 24% 8% 2% - -
63 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 13% 2%
63 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 51% 27% 10% 3% - - -
65 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 53% 26% 8% 1%
66 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
67 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 62% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
68 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - -
69 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 25% 9% 2% -
70 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 43% 19% 5% 1% -
71 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 91% 70% 41% 17% 5% 1% - - - - -
72 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1% - -
72 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 97% 88% 67% 40% 17% 5% 1% - - - -
74 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 98% 89% 67% 39% 17% 5% 1% - - - -
75 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 54% 25% 6% -
76 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 15% 4% 1% - -
77 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 44% 16% 3%
78 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 35% 13% 3% -
79 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
79 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 35% 14% 3% - -
79 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 26% 9% 2% - -
82 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
83 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 45% 21% 6% 1% - - -
84 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 30% 11% 2% - -
85 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 38% 16% 4% 1% -
85 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - - -
85 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 25% 9% 2% - - - - -
88 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 41% 19% 6% 1% - -
89 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 54% 27% 8% 1% -
90 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 96% 84% 61% 34% 14% 4% 1% - - -
91 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 38% 14% 3% -
92 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 98% 89% 68% 40% 17% 5% 1% - - -
93 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 98% 88% 64% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - -
94 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 54% 30% 12% 3% 1% -
95 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 44% 20% 6% 1% -
96 MURRAY Maximo 100% 94% 72% 41% 16% 5% 1% - - - - - -
97 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 27% 10% 2% - -
98 JIANG Owen 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
99 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
100 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
101 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
102 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
103 TOTUSEK Marek 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
104 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
105 GERVAIS Joel 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
106 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
106 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
108 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 17%
109 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 7%
110 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
111 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
112 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
113 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
114 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
115 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
116 LI Edward 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
117 BAS Liam 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
118 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
119 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 35% 7%
120 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
121 BALL James T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
122 WU Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
122 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
124 SONG Bryan 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
125 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
126 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
127 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
128 HSIUNG Richie 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
129 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
130 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
131 LOVE Aaron 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
133 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
133 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
135 BING Charles 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
136 SINGH Dayaal 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
137 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
138 LU Yikai 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
139 AHN Jun 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
140 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
141 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
142 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 3%
143 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
144 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
145 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
146 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
147 REYES Omar 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
148 DEGROOT Blake 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
149 DIERKS Kian 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
150 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
151 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
152 PO Oliver 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
153 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
154 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
155 DETERING Julian 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
156 GATZA Logan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
157 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
158 LANG Dong Lin 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
159 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
160 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
161 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
162 KEE Andrew L. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
163 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
164 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
165 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
166 LIN James G. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
166 LOVIN Vlad 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
168 LEWIS Akhil 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
169 KIM Minhyeok 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
170 TANG Owen S. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
171 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
172 CHEN-LI David C. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
173 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
174 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 73% 28% 5% 1% - -
175 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
176 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
177 PAN Henry 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
178 SHA Yi Peng 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
179 HU Robin 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
180 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
181 LIN Michael 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
182 HAINES Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
183 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
184 WU Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
185 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
185 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
187 MOHAMED Murad 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
188 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
189 CHENG Nathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
189 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
191 ZHANG Aaron 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
192 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
192 ORR Spencer 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
194 EVANS Aidan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
195 JAUME Andrei 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
196 BURBERRY Alan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
197 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
197 JITTAN daniel 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
199 CHENG Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
200 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
201 LEE Jacob 100% 91% 54% 13% 1% -
202 LIN Dashiell 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
203 JI Aidan Y. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
204 FLANAGAN James 100% 99% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
205 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
205 TIAN allen 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
207 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
207 WONG Antonio 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
209 YU Anders 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
210 PORRAS Cristian 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
211 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
212 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
213 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
214 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
214 LI Matthew 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
216 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
217 TSAO Lukas 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
218 REEVES Liam 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
218 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
220 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
221 ROSE Ben 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
222 PARK Sky 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
223 OH SEAN 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
224 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
225 LEE Chris 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
226 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
227 WANG Michael 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
227 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
227 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 88% 47% 14% 2% - -
230 GUO Justin 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
231 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
232 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
233 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 84% 39% 7% - -
234 GAO William 100% 98% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
235 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
235 KANAR Ian 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
237 WANG Mason 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.