BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
2 RONG Yao (Derek) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
3 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 RONA Milan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
5 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
6 MARKOTA Vedran 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
7 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
8 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 19%
9 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
10 LO Jake 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% < 1% -
11 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
12 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 23%
13 ZHANG Nathan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
14 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
15 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
16 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
17 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
18 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
19 WONG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
20 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
21 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
22 WATT Darren 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
23 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
24 MA Victor 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
25 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
26 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 5% -
27 UVAROV Andrii 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
28 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
29 WILSON Brent A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
30 CHEN Bailey 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
31 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
32 PAK Elliot 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
33 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
34 SARKAR Agniv 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
35 KOPPE Alexander 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% < 1% -
36 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 6% -
37 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
38 WESTON Tom 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
38 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
40 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
41 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
42 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
43 LIU Noah 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
44 FRENCH Timothy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
45 ULINICH Alexander 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
46 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
47 KIM Sullivan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
48 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
49 FU Leon 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
50 CHU Allan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
51 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
51 MING Nathan 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
53 WANG Devon 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
54 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
55 SARKAR Anish 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
56 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
57 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21% 2%
58 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
59 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
60 ZHUANG William 100% 91% 57% 17% 2% - -
61 YUEN Nathan 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
62 LIU Felix 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
62 LEE Bryson 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
64 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
65 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
66 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
67 SINHA Zaan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
68 LOFTUS Luca 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
69 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
70 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
71 PHEN Justin P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
72 LIU Yikun 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
73 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
74 LIU Andrew 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
75 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
76 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
77 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
78 ALI Adam 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
79 LEE Richard U. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
79 JU Hanul 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
81 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
82 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
83 MIAO Kunqi 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
84 LEE Chun Po 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
85 NALBANDIAN Vahan P. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
86 KIM Taeho 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
87 PRAKASH Hari 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
88 DOWDELL Riley 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
89 SETTE Alessandro 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
90 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 28% 3% - - - -
91 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.