Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
2 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
3 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
5 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
6 ZHU Zimo 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
7 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
8 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 6%
9 SHEPARD Trevor S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
11 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
12 WATT Darren 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
13 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
14 WONG Chi Ho 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
15 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
16 ZONE Liam 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
17 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
18 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
19 MA Victor 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
20 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
21 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
22 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
23 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
24 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
25 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
26 VENET Téva 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
27 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
28 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
29 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
30 KIM Darius H. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
31 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
32 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
33 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
34 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
35 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
36 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
37 MCADOO Declan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
38 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
39 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
40 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
40 FU Leon 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
42 CHU Allan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
43 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
44 JU Hanul 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
45 KIM Sterling S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
46 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
47 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
48 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
49 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
50 JONES Caleb 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2% -
51 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
52 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
53 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 99% 89% 60% 27% 6% 1%
54 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
55 KIM Sullivan 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
56 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
57 CHEN Bailey 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
58 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
59 FAN Beichen 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
60 LIU Yikun 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
61 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
62 UVAROV Andrii 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
63 CHOI San 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
64 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
65 WANG owen 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
66 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
67 DAO Alexander 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
68 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
69 GREGER Jack 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
70 SINHA Zaan 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
71 ZHUANG William 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
72 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
73 YU Austin 100% 91% 57% 18% 3% - -
74 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
75 GU Aidan 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
76 GREEN Jake L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
77 KENT V David 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
78 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
79 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
80 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
81 LEE Bryson 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
82 KIM Taeho 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
83 MIAO KUNQI 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
84 TODD Glenn 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
85 LI zerong 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
86 GENCHEV Madav 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
87 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
87 PRAKASH Hari 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
89 CHAO Warren 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
90 BRAHMBHATT Krishna 100% 31% 4% - - - -
91 BRECHTEL James 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
92 PAINTER Noah 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
93 LEE Richard U. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.