National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
2 UM Ethan A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 KUMBLA Samarth - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 BANERJEE ANUP - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
5 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 5% 30% 65%
6 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
7 XIAO Enoch A. - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
8 YANG Luao - 2% 11% 35% 39% 14%
9 LI Brandon H. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
10 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
11 KIM Brandon J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
12 CHEN Allen - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
13 HO Jia Le Sean 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
14 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
15 OURSLER Jack - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
16 SINGH Dayaal - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
17 CULLIVAN Justice - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
18 KIM Yonjae - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
19 XIAO EDWARD 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
20 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
20 MORAIS Paulo - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
22 HUANG Dongrong - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
23 HUTH Mitchell 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
24 WU Alexander 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
25 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
26 DESERANNO Jeidus - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
27 DIESTELKAMP Niklas - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 5%
28 SHA Yi Peng 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
29 XIAO Ethan J. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
30 JAIN Aditya 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
31 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
32 WOO Christian 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
33 KAO Castor T. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
34 CHEN Ziyuan - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
35 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
35 KIM Ryan Y. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% < 1%
37 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
38 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
39 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
40 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
41 CHEN James P. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
42 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
43 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
44 GRIFFIN John O. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
45 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
46 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
47 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
47 SISINNI Riccardo 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
49 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
50 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
51 BAE Kevin 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
52 LINDNER Ruben - 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
53 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
54 LAO Scott E. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
55 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
56 KASI Sanjay 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
57 BURKE Spencer W. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
58 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
59 SIU Aiden 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
60 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
61 HUTH Jacob 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
62 ESPINOZA Joaquin - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
63 RUSADZE Nickolas - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
64 MURUHIN Yaroslav 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
65 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 3%
66 SONG Leonardo T. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
67 FUKUDA Renzo K. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
68 MOHAMED Murad 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
69 SONG Aiden S. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
70 ZUSIN Zachary W. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
71 FUKUDA Alessio R. 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
72 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
73 KELLY William J. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
74 GOOR Julian - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
75 PYO Michael M. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
76 JIANG Owen 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
77 LO Conrad - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
77 LEE Aidan 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
79 DESAI Nalin H. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
80 DAI Jonathan T. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
80 GODZHIK Zachary 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
82 DIERKS Kian 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
82 LI Richard - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
84 LU Yikai 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
85 TRAUGOT Owen G. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
85 MION Lorenzo - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
87 ASK Henri 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
88 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
89 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
90 HE Xiangrui 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
91 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
92 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
93 KNIZHNIK David 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
94 OH SEAN 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
95 LEE Jacob J 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
96 LI Eric 12% 37% 37% 13% 2% -
97 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
98 DESHMUKH Arjun 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
99 DICKSON Farr R. - 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
100 ZHANG Yun Isaac 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
101 MOHAMED Amir 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
102 TANG Owen S. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
103 SOSNOV David 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
104 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
105 LI Owen 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
106 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
107 GAO William 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
108 DINSAY Kristjan 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
109 CHENG Nathan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
110 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
111 GRANT Lachlan K. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
112 SICHITIU Alexander 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
113 GATRELL Mitchell E. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
113 LEWIS Akhil 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
115 GONG Benjamin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
116 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
117 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
118 ROSE Ben 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
119 MIALL Steven A. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
120 LYU Weiqiao Victor 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
121 LI Matthew 12% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
122 PO Oliver 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% -
122 CHIN Julian S. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
124 COELHO Cristiano P. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1%
125 AHN Jun 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
125 SEZER Kaya 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
127 DESANDO Michael R. 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
128 SADOVSKY Leor B. 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
128 LANG Dong Lin 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
130 KIM Jackson 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
131 REYES Omar 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
132 KWON Ethan - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
133 HOOSHI Dylan M. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
134 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
135 JAUME Andrei 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
135 ZHAI Jeffrey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
135 DETERING Julian 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
138 BING Charles 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
139 RUFFNER Blake W. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
140 HAN Changhee 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
141 ADLER David R. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
141 WU Nicholas 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
143 LIN James G. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
144 YAP Nathan 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
145 WILLIAMS Connor J. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
146 CANO Marcos E. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
147 GUERRA Gabriel H. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
148 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
149 LEE Chris 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
150 JI Aidan Y. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
151 WONG Garrick G. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
152 LE Jacob W. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
153 DORAN Wesley C. 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
154 MIN Eric 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.