National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
2 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
7 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
8 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 14%
9 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
11 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
12 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
13 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
14 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
15 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
17 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
18 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
19 XIAO EDWARD 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
20 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
20 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
22 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
23 HUTH Mitchell 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
24 WU Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
25 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
26 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 DIESTELKAMP Niklas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 5%
28 SHA Yi Peng 100% 97% 81% 49% 20% 4% -
29 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
30 JAIN Aditya 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
31 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
32 WOO Christian 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
33 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
34 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
35 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
35 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% < 1%
37 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
38 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
39 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
40 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
41 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
42 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
43 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
44 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
45 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
46 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
47 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
47 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
49 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
50 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
51 BAE Kevin 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
52 LINDNER Ruben 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
53 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
54 LAO Scott E. 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
55 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
56 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
57 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
58 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
59 SIU Aiden 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
60 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
61 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
62 ESPINOZA Joaquin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
63 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
64 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
65 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
66 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
67 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
68 MOHAMED Murad 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
69 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
70 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
71 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
72 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
73 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
74 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
75 PYO Michael M. 100% 93% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
76 JIANG Owen 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
77 LO Conrad 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 10%
77 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
79 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
80 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
80 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
82 DIERKS Kian 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
82 LI Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
84 LU Yikai 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
85 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
85 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
87 ASK Henri 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
88 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
89 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
90 HE Xiangrui 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
91 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
92 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
93 KNIZHNIK David 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
94 OH SEAN 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
95 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
96 LI Eric 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
97 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
98 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
99 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 10%
100 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
101 MOHAMED Amir 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
102 TANG Owen S. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
103 SOSNOV David 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
104 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
105 LI Owen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
106 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
107 GAO William 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
108 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 66% 26% 6% 1% - -
109 CHENG Nathan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
110 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 10%
111 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
112 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
113 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
113 LEWIS Akhil 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
115 GONG Benjamin 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
116 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
117 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
118 ROSE Ben 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
119 MIALL Steven A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
120 LYU Weiqiao Victor 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
121 LI Matthew 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
122 PO Oliver 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
122 CHIN Julian S. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
124 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
125 AHN Jun 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
125 SEZER Kaya 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
127 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
128 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
128 LANG Dong Lin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
130 KIM Jackson 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
131 REYES Omar 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
132 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
133 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
134 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
135 JAUME Andrei 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
135 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
135 DETERING Julian 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
138 BING Charles 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
139 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
140 HAN Changhee 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
141 ADLER David R. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
141 WU Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
143 LIN James G. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
144 YAP Nathan 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
145 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
146 CANO Marcos E. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
147 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
148 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
149 LEE Chris 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
150 JI Aidan Y. 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
151 WONG Garrick G. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
152 LE Jacob W. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
153 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
154 MIN Eric 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.