Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 KIM Benjamin I. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 MOSES Alexander - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 HIGGINS Branford - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
5 ZHENG Haoran - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
6 STRAUSS Luke - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
8 DOWDELL Riley - 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3%
9 LO Jake - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
10 GAO Chaney C. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
11 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan - 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
12 CHRISTENSEN Parker - 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
13 RICHARDS Jackson D. 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
14 LIU Andrew - 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
15 GAO Zachary - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
16 FU Leon - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
17 KIM Sullivan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
18 LIN Kyran - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
19 CROSSMAN Brandon 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
20 SINGHA Orion - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
21 PAN Tristan 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
22 LIU Yikun 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
23 KIM Nathan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
24 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
25 YU Austin - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 1%
26 TIEN Jabin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
27 LIU Noah 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
28 PHAM Sawyer T. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
29 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
30 LI Ethan R. 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
31 PAK Elliot - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
32 FERRIERE Joshua - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
33 YUEN Nathan 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% < 1%
34 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
35 WANG DEVON - - 2% 10% 32% 42% 14%
36 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
37 MENDOZA Zachari - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
37 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
39 LUH Ethan K. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
40 CHOI Zachary - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
41 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
42 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
43 SCHROEDER Dylan - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
44 MCADOO Declan - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
45 ZHU Eric - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
46 MULCAHY Olaf - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
47 LEE Damien 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
48 PRAKASH Hari 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
49 RICHARD silas - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
50 ZHUANG William 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
51 AVETISIAN Alexander 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
52 FANG Hanning 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
53 DONAHUE Lake 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
54 LEE Bryson 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
55 SINHA Zaan - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
56 CHEN Bailey 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
57 MING Nathan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
58 JU Hanul 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
58 YAO Derek (Shunyu) - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
60 WONG Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
61 WONG Preston 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
62 HSU Joshua 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
63 ANDERSON Kai 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
64 HIGGINS Calvin 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
65 LEWIS Parker - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
66 KIM Andrew J. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
67 MIAO KUNQI - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 2%
68 LAI Alexander 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
69 BUERGISSER Kai 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
70 WU Steven 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
71 SIM Ian 15% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
72 THOMAS Michael 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
73 LIU Yueri 5% 25% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
74 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
75 LI Yunji (Rain) 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
76 TONG Samuel 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
77 COLIS Alexandre 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
78 AGGELER Donovan 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
79 KIM Ian - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
80 CHENG Trevor 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
81 POSSON Luke 6% 28% 40% 20% 4% - -
82 GENCHEV Madav 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
83 GU Aidan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
84 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
85 LI zerong 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
86 MILEY Walker 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
86 CHRISTODOULIDES Martinos 70% 26% 4% - - - -
88 SHEN Jiayi 37% 43% 17% 2% - - -
89 DACHELET Sawyer 13% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
89 ITO WILSON Miles 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
91 BALDWIN Alexander 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
92 ZHAO Colin 46% 41% 11% 1% - - -
93 RAMOS Max 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
94 GUO Woody 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
95 LIN Jason 70% 26% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.