March NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
2 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
5 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
7 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
8 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
9 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
10 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
11 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
12 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
13 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
14 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
15 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
16 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
17 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
17 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
19 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
20 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
21 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
22 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
23 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 17%
23 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
25 WU Alistair 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
26 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
27 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
28 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
29 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
30 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
31 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
32 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
33 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
34 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
35 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 13%
36 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
37 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
38 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 3%
39 MEN Junda 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
40 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
41 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
42 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
43 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
44 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14% 1%
45 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
46 PARK Sangwook 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
47 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
47 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
49 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
50 DONG Haiyi 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
51 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
52 TAI Edison 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
53 GRAVES Lawson 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
54 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17% 1%
55 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
56 WANG justin 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
57 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
58 MIAO Quentin 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
59 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
60 WU Johnny y. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
61 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
62 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
63 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
64 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
65 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
66 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
67 GOROZA Eric 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
68 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
69 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
70 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
71 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
72 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
73 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
74 KIM Teddy 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
75 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
76 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
77 TANG William 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
78 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
79 BOUDREAUX James 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
80 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
81 KIM Teo 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 1%
82 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
83 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
84 CHEN Luowen 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
85 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
86 ANDERSON Kai 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
87 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
88 WANG Kunqi 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
89 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
90 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 1%
90 GOWDA Suyog 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
92 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
93 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
94 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
95 HENSLEY Roran 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
96 FRANGER Max 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
97 TIEKING Noah 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
98 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
99 LIU Zicheng 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
100 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
101 LAI QiYong 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
102 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
103 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 96% 64% 24% 4% - -
104 YAO Tristan 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
105 LI Timothy 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
106 NAM Nathaniel 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
107 HEADRICK Jack 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
108 KIM Henry 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% -
109 DOAN Christopher 100% 81% 38% 7% 1% -
110 SUN Neo 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
111 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
112 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
113 MOORE Alexander 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
114 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
115 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 11% 1%
116 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
117 AHMED Mohsen 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
118 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
118 DIETZ Adam 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
120 KIM Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
121 LI zerong 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
122 MARENCIK Miles 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
122 ZHANG Albert(Kwan Fei) 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
124 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
125 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
126 LU Jacob 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
127 SIM Ian 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
128 WU Steven 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
129 PAN Anthony 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
130 TU Jinqi 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
131 SIEDOW William 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
132 HERNDON Liam 100% 96% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
133 WONG Baron 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% -
134 GADBURY Logan 100% 65% 15% 1% - - -
135 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
136 SHIN Ryan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
137 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
138 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
139 WANG aaron 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
140 NILSEN Mark 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
141 COSTANTINI DANG Anthony 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
142 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
143 RONG Gordon 100% 99% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
144 DENG haoyu 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
145 GUO Woody 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
146 SHEN Jiayi 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
147 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3% -
148 SINGLETON Aman 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
149 SUMA Marvin 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
150 GADHVI Darius 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
151 ZHANG Austin 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
152 SHILOV Maxim 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
152 CHEW Aedan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
154 REID Wesley 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
155 ANDREWS William 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
155 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
157 CHOI Aaron 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
158 CHEN Leetyan 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
159 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 94% 53% 14% 2% - -
160 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 28% 3% - - - -
161 RVACHEV Michael 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
162 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 98% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
162 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 30% 4% - - - -
164 MCCORMICK Felix 100% 25% 2% - - - -
165 WANG Devin 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
166 MANA Arnav 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
167 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
168 HWANG Jayden 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
169 SU Andy 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
170 YANG Gary 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% -
170 PATEL Krish 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
172 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
172 MA Ciel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
174 LEE Daniel 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
175 YOUNG Quentin 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
176 KIM Remington 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
177 LIU Max 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.