Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, April 26, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
7 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
8 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
9 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
10 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
11 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
12 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
13 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
14 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 5%
15 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
16 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
17 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
18 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
19 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
20 ROSE Ben 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
21 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 12%
22 LO Conrad 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
23 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
24 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
25 WU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
26 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
27 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
28 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
29 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
30 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
31 LIN James G. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
32 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
33 WOO Christian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
34 XIAO EDWARD 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
35 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
36 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
37 MIALL Steven A. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
38 LIN Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
39 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% < 1% -
40 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
41 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
42 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
43 WYMAN Julian 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 2% -
44 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
45 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
46 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
47 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
48 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
49 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
50 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
51 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
52 JAIN Aditya 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
53 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
54 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
55 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 3%
56 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
57 MATSAKH Philip 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% -
58 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
59 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
60 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
61 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
62 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
63 BING Charles 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
64 LI Eric 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
65 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
66 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 4%
67 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 6%
68 QIAN Jason H. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
69 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
70 SONG Noel 100% 52% 14% 2% < 1% -
71 CHENG Jonathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
72 LEWIS Akhil 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
73 SENIC Lucas 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
74 LI Matthew 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
75 LING Eddie 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
76 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 3%
77 CO Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
78 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
79 LI Arvin 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
80 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
81 WU Trevor 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
82 GONG Benjamin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
83 GATZA Logan 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
84 LIU Ethan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
85 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
86 YOON DYLAN 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
87 WU Alber Y. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
88 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
89 LEE Eugene 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
90 TANG Albert 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
91 OH SEAN 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
92 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
93 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
93 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
95 YAO Bradley 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
96 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
97 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
97 LI Owen 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
99 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
100 PARK Rion 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
101 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
102 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
103 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
104 WONG Antonio 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
105 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
106 PO Oliver 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
107 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
108 LEE Jonah 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
109 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
110 DERRICK Blake 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
111 CHOI Ethan 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
112 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
113 YI William 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
114 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
115 TANG Owen S. 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
116 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
117 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
118 WONG Garrick G. 100% 94% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
119 MIN Eric 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
120 KEE Andrew L. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
121 FENG Michael 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
122 JIANG Owen 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
123 TANG August L. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
124 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% -
125 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
126 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
127 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
127 LI Aaron 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
129 FUKUDA Diego 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
130 WANG Mason 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
131 MA Andrew 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
132 TALASILA Arush 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
133 MCISAAC Finn 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
134 LEE Christopher T. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
135 CANLAS Nathan 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
136 LEE Jacob 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
137 NGUYEN Martin 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
138 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
139 KIM Jackson 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
139 GUO Justin 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.