National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
2 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
3 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
5 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
6 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
7 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
8 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
9 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
10 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
11 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
12 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
13 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
14 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
15 MASON Zander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
16 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
17 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
18 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
19 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
20 GALLO James 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
21 GINZBURG Adam 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
22 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
22 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
24 LAM Alan 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
25 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
26 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
27 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
28 CHENH Justin 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
29 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
30 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
31 CONKLIN Jim 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
32 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
33 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
34 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
35 DONDISCH ilan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
36 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
37 DAVIS Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
38 SOKOL Luke 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
39 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
40 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
41 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
42 KIM Sterling S. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
43 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
44 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
45 HU Robert J. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
46 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
47 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
48 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
49 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
50 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
51 ZHENG Jerry 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
52 NGUYEN Tate 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
53 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
54 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
55 LEE Bryson 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
56 XIE Brandon 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
57 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
58 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
59 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
60 SINGH Ravin 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
61 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
62 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
63 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
64 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
65 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
66 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
67 SETO Jing 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% < 1%
68 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
69 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
69 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
71 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
72 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
73 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
74 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
75 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
75 KENT V David 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
77 CARTER Austin L. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
78 MCADOO Declan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
79 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
80 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
81 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
82 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 10% 1%
82 LIU Yikun 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
84 YANG Zeph 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
85 MA Victor 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
86 PARRISH Bryce W. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
86 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
88 KARIMOV Amir 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
89 LEE Jayden J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
90 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
91 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
92 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
93 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
94 BROOKS Zachary B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
95 SMITH Troy H. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
96 SEO Shawn 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
97 FU Jason 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
98 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
99 WALLACE James 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
100 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
101 TIEMANN Landen 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
102 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
103 LAI Boden 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
104 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
105 ZHANG ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
106 DAO Alexander 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
107 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
108 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
109 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
110 BUSH Thomas 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
111 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
112 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
113 KIM Ian 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
114 DANIELS Jonah 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
115 CORBIN Bennett 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
116 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
117 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
118 JIANG ryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
119 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
120 JAIN Samyak 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
121 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
121 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
123 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
124 BRODSKY Julian 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
125 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
126 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
127 CHUNG Joshua 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
128 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
129 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
130 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
131 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
132 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
133 GREGORY Nova (Abram) 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
133 LIU Noah 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
135 SONG Troy 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
136 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 3% -
137 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
138 WANG justin 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
138 SO Lorenzo 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
140 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
141 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
142 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
143 LIU Adam 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
144 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
145 REPIC Oliver 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
146 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
147 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
148 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
149 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
150 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
151 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
152 WEGENER Soren 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
153 ZHANG Roland 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
154 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
155 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
156 DOWD Peter L. 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
157 DAN Rex 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
158 MODANLOU Navid 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
159 WU Johnny y. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
160 ZHANG William 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
161 CAI Brian 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
162 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 17% 3%
163 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
163 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
165 SINHA Zaan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
166 PAYNE Massimo 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
167 CHEN Bailey 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
168 LEWIS Jared 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
169 LIN Kason 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
170 BREILING Niklas 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
171 YU Austin 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
172 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
173 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
173 BAILEY David 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
175 XIA Dashan 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
176 LEE Aiden 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
177 YU Samuel 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
178 PETERSON Matthew 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
179 MILLER Lance W. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
179 GONZALES Wesley 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
181 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
182 MIAO Quentin 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
183 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
184 TATE William Isom 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
185 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
186 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
187 ZHUANG William 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
188 LEE DoWon 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
189 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 100% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
190 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
191 CHEN Brian 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
191 WONG Preston 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
193 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
194 EMMERT JP 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
195 REDDY Arya 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
196 KIM Teo 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
197 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
197 LU Jacob 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
199 DENIZE Paul Edmond Alexandre 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
200 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
201 HULL Liam 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.