November NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, November 11, 2024 at 9:30 AM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
3 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
3 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
6 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
8 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
9 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
10 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
10 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
12 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
13 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
14 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
15 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
16 CHEN Junlin 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
17 GLASSON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
17 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
19 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
20 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27% 3%
21 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
22 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
23 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
24 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
25 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
26 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
27 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
28 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
29 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
30 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 16%
31 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
32 LO Preston 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
33 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
33 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
35 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
36 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
37 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
38 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
39 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
39 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
41 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
41 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
43 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 1%
44 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
45 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
46 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
47 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
48 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
49 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
49 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
51 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
52 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
52 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
54 LIU Derek 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
55 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
56 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
57 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
58 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
59 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
60 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 1%
60 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
62 PARK Sky 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
63 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 6%
64 WANG Zhenyong 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 10%
65 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
66 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
67 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 3%
67 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
69 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
70 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 23%
71 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
71 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 1%
73 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 5%
74 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
75 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
76 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
77 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 8%
78 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
79 KIM Brian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
80 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
81 WU Alistair 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 8% 1%
82 BAI Brian 100% 99% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
83 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 3%
84 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
85 LI Aaron 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
86 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
86 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5% -
88 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
89 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 2%
90 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
91 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
92 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
93 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
94 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
95 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
96 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
97 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
98 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
99 SONG Noel 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
100 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 4%
101 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
101 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
103 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
103 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
105 LI Samuel 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3% -
105 BI Ryan 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
107 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
108 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% -
109 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 99% 87% 50% 11% -
110 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
111 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
112 HAYES Stewart 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
113 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 4%
114 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
114 PARK Rion 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
116 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
117 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
118 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
119 LU Royce 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
120 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
121 ONG Nicholas 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
122 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% 1%
123 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
124 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
125 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
126 FENG Michael 100% 100% 96% 75% 28% 4% -
127 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
128 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 39% 6% - - -
129 MAO Lucas 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
130 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 10% 1%
130 MCISAAC Finn 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
132 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
133 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
134 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
135 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
136 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
137 YI William W. 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 8% -
137 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
139 RAJ Jay 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3% -
140 FRASER Rhys 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
141 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 25% 3%
141 PARK Jason B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 23% 2%
143 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
144 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
145 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
146 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
147 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
148 XU Ethan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
149 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
149 XIE Buster 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
151 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
152 LI Toby 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
153 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
154 BAE Eugene 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
154 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
156 LI Edison M. 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
157 ZENG Rick 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
158 SMITH Grant D. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
158 KETTELLE John 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
160 ZHANG Jacob 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
161 MORROW Brenden 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
162 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
163 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
164 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
165 LI Arvin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
165 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
167 PONS Diego 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
168 YOON Junhyeok 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
169 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
170 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
170 CHEN Ethan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
172 TANG Terry 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
173 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
174 CHANG Nathan 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% - -
175 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
176 KIM Teo 100% 74% 21% 2% - - -
177 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
178 BURBERRY Alan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
179 CHEN Nuo 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
180 BERNARD Cohen 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
181 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
182 LING Carson Jr 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
183 BIELER Mason 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
184 WANG Brian 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
185 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 13% 1%
186 LIU William 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
186 WANDJI Noah 100% 99% 89% 50% 15% 2% -
188 YANG Dylan 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
189 CHENG Logan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
190 HUANG Chenghan 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
191 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 11% 1%
192 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
192 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
194 CHUANG Oscar 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
194 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
196 YANG Charles 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
197 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
197 ZHANG Matthew 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
199 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
200 TANG August L. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
200 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
202 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
203 ZHAO Adam 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
203 EDISON Ansel 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
205 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
206 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 31% 4% - - - -
206 PARK William 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
208 TOOMRE Kai 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
208 TALASILA Arush 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
210 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 95% 65% 19% 2% - -
211 HICKEY Connor 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
212 WONG Braxton 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
213 HUA Aaron 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
213 GREENE Amit 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
215 MARTIN Darius 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
216 CHOI Ethan 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
217 LEE Eugene 100% 97% 78% 35% 5% -
218 LI Matthew 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
219 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
220 BAI Austin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
221 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
221 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% -
223 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
224 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 1%
225 BOESKIN Nolan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
226 SUN Ryan 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
227 ZHOU Ryan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
227 CLARK Benjamin 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
229 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
230 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
231 YU William 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
232 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
233 CHEUNG Hank 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
234 VADEN Oliver 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
234 WEST Nathaniel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
236 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
237 LEVY Jacob 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
238 TAM Kyle 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
238 PETROV Mikhail 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
240 HUTH Trevor 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
240 CHO Xzander 100% 97% 49% 11% 1% - -
240 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
240 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 95% 58% 20% 3% - -
240 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 99% 82% 33% 6% - -
245 MCKEE Calvin 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
246 WONG Evan 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
246 VOLLMER Quintin 100% 97% 62% 21% 3% - -
248 JIANG Bowang 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
249 KIM Jonah 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
249 XU Brian 100% 37% 6% - - - -
251 COSSROW Alex 100% 43% 7% 1% - - -
251 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
253 PE Noah 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% - -
254 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
254 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -
256 METZ Mason 100% 79% 30% 4% - - -
257 BLACK Zachary 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
257 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
259 GAO Andrew Gao 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
260 TSOI Spencer 100% 85% 44% 9% 1% - -
260 LEUNG Jin 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
262 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 47% 7% - - - -
263 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 78% 25% 4% - - -
264 WANG Rory 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
265 MAVANI Krishna 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
266 MICK Gabriel 100% 17% 1% - - - -
267 TANG Albert 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
268 LI Richard 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
268 SHANNON Jack 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
270 COPELAND Nigel 100% 95% 53% 15% 2% - -
270 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
270 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 21% 2% - - - -
273 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
274 SURESH Rohan 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
274 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 21% 2% - - - -
274 KARPMAN Benny 100% 8% - - - - -
277 ZAIDI Adil 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
278 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
279 POWELL Sean 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
279 ZHANG Andrew 100% 39% 6% - - - -
279 KAGAN Noah 100% 14% 1% - - - -
282 DHOKTE Neev 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
282 LEE Christopher 100% 24% 2% - - - -
282 DAI Christopher 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
285 WEI Winston 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
286 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
286 MIRON Ioachim 100% 25% 3% - - - -
286 HARKINS Asher 100% 48% 7% - - - -
289 ROSE Zavier 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.