Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
2 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
3 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 KIM Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 LIU John 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 YAVOROVSKIY JOSHUA I. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
8 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% < 1%
10 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
11 KING Cameron 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
13 WU Byron 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
14 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
15 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
16 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
17 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
18 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
19 CHEN Eric 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
20 YI Jason 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
21 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
22 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
22 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
24 PARK Vincent 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
25 ZHANG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
26 LI Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
27 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
28 SALISBURY Cary 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
29 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
30 GEHRKE Nate 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
31 LU Sebastian X. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
32 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
33 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
34 BLUM Oliver 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
35 MUN Chur-Yong 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
36 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
37 FU Ethan 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
38 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
39 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
40 KANACH Duncan 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
41 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
42 HEISE Alexander D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
43 GOLCZEWSKI Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
44 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
45 STUBBLEFIELD Evan 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
46 MARGHUB Safi 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
47 CHOU Ryan 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
48 JANG Elliot 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
49 CAO Brad 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
50 CHOI Marcus 100% 48% 7% - - - -
51 ZHANG Andy 100% 18% 1% - - - -
52 ZHANG Andy 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
52 ZHANG Caden 100% 70% 12% 1% - - -
54 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
55 MORAN Joseph 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
56 BERNACKI IRWIN Joshua 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.