October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
2 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 1% 8% 40% 52%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - - 11% 89%
6 BOURTIS James S. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
7 YANG Luao - - 3% 23% 46% 28%
8 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
9 LI Bradley - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
10 MATSAKH Philip - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
11 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
12 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
13 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 3% 23% 74%
14 JEON Caleb A. - - 4% 19% 42% 29% 5%
15 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
16 WANG Aaron - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
17 CHEN Raymond - - 1% 6% 24% 45% 24%
17 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
19 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
19 NAGIMOV Marsel - - - - 3% 23% 74%
21 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
22 LO Conrad - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
23 LEWIS Akhil - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
24 ROSE Ben - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
25 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 3% 30% 67%
25 CHIN Julian S. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
27 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 21%
28 SON Hajin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
29 KAO Castor T. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
30 MOHAMED Amir - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
31 BRUK Peter J. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
32 CHOI JIAN 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
33 LIN Youlong - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
35 LI Matthew - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
36 LO Preston 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
36 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
38 LI Richard Y. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
39 LEE Aidan - - 1% 6% 23% 44% 26%
40 DONG Richard 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
41 CHEN Kyle P. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
42 KIM Yonjae - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
43 LI Solin - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
44 HASSANIN Mohamed - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
45 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
46 AHN Jun 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
47 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
48 SIU Aiden - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
49 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 3% 17% 37% 34% 8%
50 WU Alexander - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
51 DERRICK Blake - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
52 LI Toby Muhua - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% -
53 HUTH Mitchell - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
53 WONG Adrian 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
55 SHAPIRO Leon 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
56 LEE Juyoung 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
57 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
58 RAUTUREAU Hugo - 6% 25% 39% 23% 6% 1%
59 MARTIN Darius 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
60 BAS Liam - - 7% 44% 49%
61 LEE Christopher T. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
62 GLASSON Joseph - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
63 KRYLTSOV Michael 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% -
64 NGUYEN Martin 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
65 RASMUSSEN Sage - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
66 GRIFFITH JACK - 1% 13% 54% 32%
67 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
67 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
69 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 9%
70 LIN Michael - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
71 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
72 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
73 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 4% 23% 47% 27%
73 JEONG Yujun - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
75 SISINNI Riccardo - 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 10%
76 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
77 LIU Jinning - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
78 DESANDO Michael R. 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 4%
79 LU Royce - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
80 ZHAO Jason L. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
81 SENIC Lucas - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
81 TAN Aidan - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
83 LING Eddie 1% 10% 45% 35% 9% 1%
84 LE Jacob H. 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1% -
85 KIM Ryan Y. - 1% 10% 29% 39% 18% 3%
86 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 1%
87 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
87 CHEN Matthew 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
89 ONIK Elijah T. - - - 4% 20% 45% 30%
90 FUKUDA Diego 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
91 TIYA BIAYA K. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
92 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
93 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 4% 18% 39% 35% 4%
94 LIN James G. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 2%
95 CHEN Hanson 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
95 ISOLANI Gregorio - 1% 6% 24% 40% 27% 3%
97 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
98 SINGH Dayaal - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
99 WYMAN Julian - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
99 ZHANG Jacob 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
101 KIM Minhyeok 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
102 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 3%
103 CANLAS Nathan - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
104 ZHENG Alan H. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
105 ROZALSKI Eli 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
106 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
107 MYERS Dean 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
108 RAJ Jay 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
109 KNIZHNIK David - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10% 1%
110 HUANG Eythan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
111 ZHANG Aaron 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
112 CHALUT Etienne 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
113 LI Samuel 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
114 SHAGIDANYAN German 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
115 WONG Evan 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
116 CHENG Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
118 PARK Rion 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
119 BAE Eugene 13% 52% 31% 4% -
120 PARRISH Evan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
121 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
122 KIM Brian 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
123 KETTELLE John 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
124 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
125 BAI Brian 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
126 ELGHAYESH Seif 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
127 BAILEY William F. - 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
128 LEWIS Paul D. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
129 CHEN Nuo 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
130 LIU Derek - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
132 HAN Changhee 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4% -
133 LU Yikai - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% -
134 JIANG Owen - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
135 WANDJI Noah 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
136 KORABLIN Anton - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
137 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
138 CHOI Ethan 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2% -
139 GUTH Joseph 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
139 CO Dylan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
141 DINSAY Kristjan 2% 16% 35% 34% 12% 1%
142 YU Jason - 6% 23% 39% 27% 6%
142 ZHOU Chenqiao 4% 31% 51% 13% 1%
144 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
145 PARK Sky 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
146 MCISAAC Finn 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
147 LEE Brendan - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
148 LI Aaron 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
149 ZHANG Andy W. - - - 6% 29% 52% 13%
149 TANG Alexander L. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
149 SONG Noel 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
152 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
153 XU Andy P. 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
153 BLACK Zachary 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
155 SIMONOV Timofey 3% 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
156 MURUHIN Yaroslav - - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
156 PORRAS Cristian - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
156 ZHENG Marcus 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
159 HAYES Stewart 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
159 CHEUNG Hank 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
161 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
161 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
163 XIE Buster 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
164 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
164 CHA James 10% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
166 MIN Eric - 7% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
167 OH SEAN 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
168 JURMAN Therin 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
169 WILLIAMS Connor J. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
170 YI William W. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
171 CHO Beomjun 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
172 ZHONG Maxwell 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
173 TANG August L. 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% -
174 REZNICK Nicholas J. - 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
175 KLOTZ Isaiah - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
176 AKYAMAC Bora 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
177 GE Felix Fei 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
178 COSTE Fabien 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
179 BAE Kevin - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
180 TSOI Spencer 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
181 LORENZO Alejandro 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
181 KAPOOR Aayan 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
183 WU DING-JUN 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
184 WANG Rory 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
185 KANAR Ian 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
186 ESPINOZA Joaquin - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
186 GOH Jonas 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
188 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
189 ARIZA Abraham J. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
189 HARROCH Faustin 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
191 HOWLAND Jonas 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
192 SHENG Dalton 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
193 TEH Tang-Ngu 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
194 ZOBEL Eric H. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
195 CHENG Logan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
196 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
197 WENDLER Alexander J. 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
198 DAI Christopher 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
199 RAUTUREAU Arthur 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% - -
199 ANDRIC Borna 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
201 GATZA Logan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
202 QUINONES Diego A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
203 CHEN Ethan 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
204 YAO Bradley 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
205 HUANG Jonathan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
206 MAZAHERI Fletcher 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
207 CHO Jadon Yushin 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
208 WUJASTYK Leon 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
209 CHUANG Oscar 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
210 CLARK Benjamin 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
211 NICOLETTI Luca 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
212 BAI Austin 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
213 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 6% 25% 43% 23% 3%
214 WU Alistair 2% 30% 42% 21% 5% - -
215 HUTH Jacob - 1% 17% 44% 31% 7%
215 LIPPMAN Sam 9% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
217 LEUNG Ethan - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
218 LU Kevin 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
219 JAUME Andrei 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
220 TANG Albert 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
221 GORDON William L. 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
221 BADLANI Dev 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
221 GONZALEZ Oliver 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
221 CHONG Tristan 13% 41% 33% 11% 1% - -
225 LEE Jonah 2% 18% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
226 LIU Ethan 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
226 HARRIS Julien 57% 38% 5% - - -
228 JAIN Aditya 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
229 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
230 GHEDINI Luca 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
230 HAINES Ethan 9% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
232 VANOYEN Dominick 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
233 SMITH Grant D. 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
233 LIU Zixian 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
235 LU Andy 27% 58% 14% 1% - -
236 CHOI Ethan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
237 GÉLINAS Jonathan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
237 NEWMAN Noah 87% 13% 1% - - - -
239 TANG Owen S. < 1% 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
240 RUFFNER Blake W. < 1% 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
241 ZHANG GAVIN J 63% 32% 4% - -
242 NOFZIGER Bennett 66% 30% 4% - - - -
242 MCKEE Calvin 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
242 YAO Pincheng 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
245 GRIFFIN John O. < 1% 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
246 BELCHAMBER Mason 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
247 SEMP Iain 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
247 XU Dinghui Ryan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
247 EDISON Ansel 10% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -
247 TOEWS Jackson 70% 26% 4% - - - -
251 FEDELI Francesco 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
252 LI Edison M. 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
253 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. < 1% 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
253 SISINNI Leonardo 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
255 ORLOV Dmitriy 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
256 ZAIDI Adil 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% - -
257 GAO Andrew 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
258 LIM Charlie 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.