October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
6 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
7 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 28%
8 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
10 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
11 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
12 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
13 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
14 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
15 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
16 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
17 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
17 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
19 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
19 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
21 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
22 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
23 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
24 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
25 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
27 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
28 SON Hajin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
29 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
30 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
31 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
32 CHOI JIAN 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
33 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 26%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
35 LI Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
36 LO Preston 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
36 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
38 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
39 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
40 DONG Richard 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
41 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
42 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
43 LI Solin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
44 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
45 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
46 AHN Jun 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
47 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
48 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
49 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 8%
50 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
51 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
52 LI Toby Muhua 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% -
53 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
53 WONG Adrian 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
55 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
56 LEE Juyoung 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% 1%
57 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
58 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 6% 1%
59 MARTIN Darius 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% 1% -
60 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 93% 49%
61 LEE Christopher T. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
62 GLASSON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
63 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
64 NGUYEN Martin 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
65 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
66 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 99% 86% 32%
67 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
67 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
69 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
70 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
71 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
72 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
73 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
73 JEONG Yujun 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
75 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
76 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
77 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
78 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
79 LU Royce 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
80 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
81 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
81 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
83 LING Eddie 100% 99% 90% 45% 10% 1%
84 LE Jacob H. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
85 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
86 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 1%
87 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% 1%
87 CHEN Matthew 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% -
89 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
90 FUKUDA Diego 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
91 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
92 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
93 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 4%
94 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 2%
95 CHEN Hanson 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
95 ISOLANI Gregorio 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
97 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
98 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
99 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
99 ZHANG Jacob 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
101 KIM Minhyeok 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
102 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 3%
103 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
104 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
105 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
106 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
107 MYERS Dean 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
108 RAJ Jay 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
109 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11% 1%
110 HUANG Eythan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
111 ZHANG Aaron 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
112 CHALUT Etienne 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
113 LI Samuel 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
114 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
115 WONG Evan 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
116 CHENG Ethan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
118 PARK Rion 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
119 BAE Eugene 100% 87% 35% 4% -
120 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
121 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
122 KIM Brian 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
123 KETTELLE John 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
124 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
125 BAI Brian 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
126 ELGHAYESH Seif 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
127 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
128 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
129 CHEN Nuo 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
130 LIU Derek 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
132 HAN Changhee 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
133 LU Yikai 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% -
134 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
135 WANDJI Noah 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
136 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
137 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
138 CHOI Ethan 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3% -
139 GUTH Joseph 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
139 CO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
141 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
142 YU Jason 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
142 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 96% 65% 14% 1%
144 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
145 PARK Sky 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
146 MCISAAC Finn 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
147 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
148 LI Aaron 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
149 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65% 13%
149 TANG Alexander L. 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
149 SONG Noel 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
152 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
153 XU Andy P. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
153 BLACK Zachary 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
155 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
156 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
156 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
156 ZHENG Marcus 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
159 HAYES Stewart 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
159 CHEUNG Hank 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% - -
161 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
161 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
163 XIE Buster 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
164 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% 1%
164 CHA James 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
166 MIN Eric 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
167 OH SEAN 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
168 JURMAN Therin 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
169 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
170 YI William W. 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
171 CHO Beomjun 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
172 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
173 TANG August L. 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
174 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
175 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
176 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
177 GE Felix Fei 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
178 COSTE Fabien 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
179 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
180 TSOI Spencer 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
181 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
181 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 97% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
183 WU DING-JUN 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
184 WANG Rory 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
185 KANAR Ian 100% 92% 52% 16% 2% - -
186 ESPINOZA Joaquin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
186 GOH Jonas 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
188 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
189 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
189 HARROCH Faustin 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
191 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
192 SHENG Dalton 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
193 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
194 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
195 CHENG Logan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
196 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
197 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
198 DAI Christopher 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
199 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% - -
199 ANDRIC Borna 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
201 GATZA Logan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
202 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
203 CHEN Ethan 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
204 YAO Bradley 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
205 HUANG Jonathan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
206 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
207 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
208 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
209 CHUANG Oscar 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
210 CLARK Benjamin 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
211 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
212 BAI Austin 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
213 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
214 WU Alistair 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% - -
215 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 99% 81% 37% 7%
215 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
217 LEUNG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
218 LU Kevin 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
219 JAUME Andrei 100% 97% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
220 TANG Albert 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
221 GORDON William L. 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
221 BADLANI Dev 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
221 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
221 CHONG Tristan 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
225 LEE Jonah 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
226 LIU Ethan 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
226 HARRIS Julien 100% 43% 5% - - -
228 JAIN Aditya 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
229 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
230 GHEDINI Luca 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
230 HAINES Ethan 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% - -
232 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
233 SMITH Grant D. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
233 LIU Zixian 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
235 LU Andy 100% 73% 15% 1% - -
236 CHOI Ethan 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
237 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
237 NEWMAN Noah 100% 13% 1% - - - -
239 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
240 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
241 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 37% 4% - -
242 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 34% 4% - - - -
242 MCKEE Calvin 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
242 YAO Pincheng 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
245 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
246 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
247 SEMP Iain 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
247 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
247 EDISON Ansel 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
247 TOEWS Jackson 100% 30% 4% - - - -
251 FEDELI Francesco 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
252 LI Edison M. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
253 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
253 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
255 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
256 ZAIDI Adil 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
257 GAO Andrew 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
258 LIM Charlie 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.