October NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
2 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
3 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
6 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
7 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
8 VOZOVIK Zakhar 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
9 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
10 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
11 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
12 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
13 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
14 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
15 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
16 LIU John 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
17 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
19 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
22 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
23 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
24 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
25 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
26 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
27 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
28 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
29 KIM William M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
30 SZABO Domonkos 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
31 GALLANT Antoine 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
32 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
33 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
34 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 2%
35 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
36 STONE Henry J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
37 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
38 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
39 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
40 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
41 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
42 LEE Alexander G. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
43 MOHEBI Saam 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
44 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
45 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
46 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
47 XIAN Riley 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
48 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
49 KEHOE James E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
50 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
51 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
52 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
53 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
53 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
55 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
56 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
57 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
57 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
59 WANG William M. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
60 YAN yuheng 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
61 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
62 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
62 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
64 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
65 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
66 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
67 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
68 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
69 LI Brian X 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
70 SHAMIS Mark 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
71 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
72 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
73 DIXON Samuel 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
74 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
74 DYER Ian E. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
76 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
77 MUGA Boris 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
78 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
79 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
80 XIAN Ryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 5%
81 JIN Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
82 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
83 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
84 SHI Edric 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
85 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
86 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
87 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 94% 58% 21% 4% - -
88 LIN Kyran 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
89 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
90 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
91 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
92 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
93 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
94 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
94 MAENG Jake W. 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
94 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
97 LI Jeffrey 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
98 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
99 HERMANSON David B. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
100 SHIV Rishi 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
101 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
102 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 98% 68% 25% 5% - -
103 ZHANG Zan 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
104 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
105 COMBS Colson 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
106 PARKER Riley D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
107 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
108 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
109 USHER Alexander 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
110 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
111 KOH Tommy 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
112 DENNIS Ethan 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
113 GUO Joe 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
114 GIBSON Dylan A. 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
115 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
116 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
117 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
118 KELSEY Ryan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
119 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
120 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 17% 3%
121 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
122 LAWLER Aidan 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
123 JAMES Samuel 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
123 HUANG Zijin 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
125 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
126 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
127 SHIN Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
128 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
129 DIB Aaniss 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
129 NICHOLS JR Cortez 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
131 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
132 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
133 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
134 JACKSON James 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
135 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
136 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
137 KAJI Ty 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
138 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
139 HONG James 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
140 SHOURIE Jai 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
141 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
141 CHUNG Thomas 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
141 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
141 LEE Wesley Y. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
145 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
146 HAN David 100% 83% 33% 6% 1% - -
147 XIANG HONGYI 100% 64% 13% 1% - - -
148 LAI Coby 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
149 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
150 CHU Allan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
151 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
151 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
153 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
154 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
155 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
155 TAYLOR William 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
157 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
158 BURGESS James E. 100% 64% 17% 2% - - -
159 MILLER Lance W. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
160 SMITH Jackson 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
161 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
162 KENT Matthew 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
163 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
163 LEE Timothy S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
165 PARNAS Ely 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
166 WONG Joshua 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
166 WEIST Spencer 100% 12% 1% - - - -
168 HA Daniel 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
169 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
169 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
171 CHANG Luo Jixiu 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.