February NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 25%
5 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
9 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
9 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
11 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
12 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
13 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
14 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
15 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
16 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
17 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 12%
18 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
19 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
19 LU Royce Youshi 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
21 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
23 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
24 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
25 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
26 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
27 HASHIMOTO Shoei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
28 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
29 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 7%
30 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 98% 86% 46% 9%
31 LI Toby Muhua 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
32 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
33 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
33 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
35 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
36 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
37 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
38 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
39 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
40 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
41 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
41 LO Preston 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9% -
43 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
43 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
45 LING Eddie 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
46 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
46 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
48 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
48 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
50 LU Yikai 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 2%
51 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
52 VAABEN Frode 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
53 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4% -
54 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
55 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
56 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
56 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
58 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
59 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
60 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
61 HAYES Stewart 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
62 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
63 HUANG Jonathan 100% 97% 67% 24% 4% - -
64 OH SEAN 100% 98% 74% 30% 6% - -
65 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
66 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
67 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 15%
67 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
69 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
70 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
71 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
72 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4%
73 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
73 LI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
75 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
76 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
77 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
78 VILLACRESES Mathias 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% < 1% -
79 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 86% 51% 12% 1%
80 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
81 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
82 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
83 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 94% 67% 22% 2%
84 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
85 JIANG Owen 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
86 GUTH Joseph 100% 98% 85% 48% 11% 1%
87 ZOU QINGCHU 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
88 PARRISH Evan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
89 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
90 CHENG Logan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
91 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
92 BAI Brian 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
93 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
94 CHOI Benjamin 100% 80% 36% 7% - -
94 LU Kevin 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
94 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
97 LI Solin 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 1%
98 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
99 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
100 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
101 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10% 1%
102 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
103 XIE Buster 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
104 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
105 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
106 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
107 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 88% 48% 12% 1%
108 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
109 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
110 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
111 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
112 LI Aaron 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
113 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
114 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
115 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
116 OZAWA Taishi 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
117 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
118 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
118 LE Jacob H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% 1%
120 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
121 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
122 OROSZLAN Daniel 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
123 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
124 HOLLIS Sean 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
125 NGUYEN Martin 100% 94% 65% 22% 3%
127 SHIN Noah 100% 55% 13% 1% -
128 YAO Pincheng 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
129 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
130 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
131 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
132 ZHANG Jacob 100% 96% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
133 YOON Junhyeok 100% 93% 66% 27% 6% - -
134 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
135 GHEDINI Luca 100% 96% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
136 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
137 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
138 GU Daniel 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
139 WONG Evan 100% 93% 64% 22% 3% -
140 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
141 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
141 SHENG Dalton 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
141 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
144 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
145 LEE Jaden 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
146 CHOI Ethan 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
146 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
148 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
148 ZHENG Marcus 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
150 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
150 PECK Quinn 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
152 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
153 HARROCH Faustin 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
153 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
155 YU William 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
156 ISOLANI Gregorio 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 4%
157 LIU Zixian 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
158 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
159 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 15% 1%
159 YI William W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
161 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
162 BIELER Mason 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
163 KETTELLE John 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
164 CHEUNG Hank 100% 79% 34% 6% - -
165 LIU Aaron 100% 94% 59% 17% 2% -
166 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
167 CHA James 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
168 PAN Qiwen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
169 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
170 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
171 CHANG Jonathan 100% 98% 69% 20% 2% - -
172 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
173 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
173 HE Patrick 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
173 WU Tong 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
176 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
177 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
178 SHANNON Jack 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
179 RAJ Jay 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
180 LIM Charlie 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
180 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
182 HAINES Ethan 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
183 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 3%
183 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
185 LI Edison M. 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
186 ZHOU Ryan 100% 97% 70% 24% 4% - -
187 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
187 PARK Sky 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
189 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
190 CHAN Matthew 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
190 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 4%
192 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
193 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
194 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
195 ZHAO Brian 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
196 WANG Michael 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
197 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
198 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
198 JAUME Andrei 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
198 LI Samuel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
201 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
202 BLACK Zachary 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
203 NEWMAN Noah 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
204 METZ Mason 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
205 CHEN Anson 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
206 SONG Noel 100% 90% 55% 15% 2% -
207 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 77% 33% 7% -
208 CHUANG Oscar 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
209 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 96% 66% 22% 3% -
210 WANG Rory 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
211 CLARK Benjamin 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
212 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 2% -
213 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
214 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
214 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
216 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
217 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6% -
218 KUE Temujin 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
219 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
219 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
221 HUA Aaron 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
222 PARK William 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
222 KIM Daniel 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
224 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 18% 1% - - - -
225 ZHANG Songhao Steven 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
226 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
226 WONG Jacob W. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
226 DAUM Charlie 100% 95% 49% 9% 1% - -
229 CHO Xzander 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
230 MARTIN Darius 100% 98% 74% 32% 6% - -
230 BAI Austin 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
232 PINKERTON Joseph H. 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
232 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
234 TANG Terry 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
235 HICKEY Connor 100% 94% 53% 13% 2% - -
235 MCISAAC Finn 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
237 PASHBY Stephen N. 100% 83% 32% 6% 1% - -
239 ZAIDI Adil 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
240 MORROW Brenden 100% 71% 26% 4% -
241 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
241 FAN Sean 100% 28% 3% - - - -
243 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
245 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
245 BAKSHI Aman 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
247 TANG August L. 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
248 GNEUHS Sam 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
249 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 40% 5% - - - -
250 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
250 YOU Martin 100% 24% 2% - - - -
252 MARTIRE Luca 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
253 TOOMRE Kai 100% 34% 4% - - -
254 LU Andy 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
255 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
256 BARRETT Austin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
256 HARKINS Asher 100% 20% 1% - - - -
256 RIVERA Miguel 100% 21% 2% - - - -
259 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
260 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.