Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, October 8, 2018 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
5 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
6 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
6 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
8 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
9 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
10 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
11 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
13 PAE Brian L. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
14 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
15 CHIN Julian S. 100% 99% 85% 45% 10% -
16 KEE Andrew L. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
17 OH Sean 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
18 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
19 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
20 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 9%
21 GEOGHEGAN Ronan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
22 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
23 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
24 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
25 HONG Issac 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
26 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 98% 80% 44% 12% 1%
28 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
29 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% -
30 YANG Luao 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
31 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% -
32 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
33 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
34 LONG Connor M. 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
35 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
35 XIE Brandon 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
37 CATINO Brennen 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
38 ZHOU Leon 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1% -
39 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
40 QIU Daniel 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
41 REEVES Liam 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
42 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
42 GUO Sean 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
42 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
45 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
45 XU Andy P. 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
47 WANG Jackson 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
48 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
49 PO Oliver 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
50 JI Aidan Y. 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
51 TANG August L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
52 MAIER Finn 100% 96% 71% 25% 4% -
53 GAO William 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -
54 GUO Justin 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
55 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
56 TORRES Treston 100% 77% 27% 4% - - -
57 KNIZHNIK David 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
58 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
59 SOLDATOV Faddey 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
60 SONG Austin 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
61 BADLANI Dev 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
62 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
63 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
64 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 81% 31% 5% - - -
65 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
65 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 49% 7% - - - -
67 RADKE Aaron K. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
68 ZHANG Alex 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
69 TANG Albert 100% 62% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.