National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
2 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
3 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
6 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
7 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
8 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
9 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
11 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
13 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
14 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
15 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 14%
16 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
17 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
18 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
18 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
20 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
21 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
22 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15%
23 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
24 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
25 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
26 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
27 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
28 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
28 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
30 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
31 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
32 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
33 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
35 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
36 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
36 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
38 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
39 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
40 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
41 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
42 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
43 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
44 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
45 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 5% -
46 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
47 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
48 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
49 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
50 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
51 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65% 16%
51 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
53 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
54 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 28%
55 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
56 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
57 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
58 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 9%
59 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
60 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
61 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
62 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
63 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
64 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
65 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
66 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
67 ROMANOV Michael 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
68 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20% 1%
69 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
70 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
71 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
72 KEE Andrew L. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
73 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
74 DANKAR Neel 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% -
74 YANG Luao 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
76 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
77 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
78 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
79 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
79 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
81 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
82 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
83 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% -
84 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
85 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
86 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
87 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
88 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
89 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
90 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
91 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
92 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
92 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 11%
94 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
95 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
96 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
97 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
98 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
99 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
100 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 5%
101 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
101 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
103 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 2%
104 SHIH William 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
105 OH Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
106 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
107 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% -
108 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
109 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
110 LI Simon A. 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
110 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
112 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
113 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
114 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
115 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
116 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
117 VERSTEELE Sander 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
118 FLANAGAN James 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
119 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
120 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% - -
121 HODESS Ethan 100% 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
122 KUO Evan 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
123 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
124 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
125 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
126 MARX Oscar L. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
127 XIAO EDWARD 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
128 WU Jerry Z. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
129 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 15%
130 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
131 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
132 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
133 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
134 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
135 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
136 THAI William 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
137 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
138 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 99% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
139 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
140 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 96% 70% 30% 5% - -
141 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
141 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
143 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
144 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
145 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
145 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
147 BALL James T. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 1%
148 AHN Jun 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
149 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
150 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
151 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
152 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
153 GAO William 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1% -
154 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 8%
155 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
156 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
157 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
158 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 1%
159 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
159 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 94% 67% 22% 3% -
159 TAN Christien 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
162 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4% -
162 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
164 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
165 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
166 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
166 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
166 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
169 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
170 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
170 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
172 EVGENEV Mark 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
173 WU Conrad J. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% - -
174 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
175 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
176 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
176 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
178 CHOI Samuel 100% 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
179 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
179 KIM Derek A. 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
179 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
182 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
183 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
184 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
185 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
186 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
187 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
188 TORRES Treston 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
189 LIM Charles Q. 100% 79% 31% 6% 1% - -
190 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
191 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
192 CURLEY Sebastian D. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
193 LI Raphael C. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
194 WU Alexander 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
195 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
196 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
197 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
198 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
199 DAUM Charlie 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
200 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% -
201 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
202 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20% 2%
203 LEE Chris 100% 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
204 NABI Masoud Masoud W. 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
205 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 99% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
206 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
207 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
207 LI Owen 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
209 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
209 LI Avery Peihong 100% 94% 51% 13% 2% - -
211 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
212 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 98% 72% 24% 3% - -
212 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
214 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
215 HERGERT Benito 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
215 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
217 SELL Ethan J. 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
218 CHENG Nathan 100% 97% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
219 ZACHARY Zane 100% 21% 2% - - - -
220 CANO Marcos E. 100% 95% 59% 19% 3% - -
221 PATINO Yahir 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
222 OH SEAN 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
223 FURST Matthew C. 100% 98% 74% 29% 4% - -
224 REYES Omar 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
225 HSIUNG Richie 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
226 MCCORD Clark 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
227 BERK Theodore 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
228 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 56% 17% 3% - -
229 MILLER Trent D. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
230 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
231 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
232 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
233 UPTON Craig 100% 93% 52% 12% 1% - -
234 JI Aidan Y. 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
235 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
235 FINLEY Dylan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
237 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
238 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
238 STRAYER Andrew 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
240 KHER Roan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
241 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
242 LEE Lukas 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
243 MILLER Chance 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
244 CAI Oliver K. 100% 93% 54% 17% 3% - -
244 LISONDRA Niko 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
244 WONG Garrick G. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
244 SONG Dylan S. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
244 LEE Jacob 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
249 BRYANT Max 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
249 ZHENG zhe 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
251 BERNABE Rafael 100% 94% 38% 6% - - -
252 CHI Alexander 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
253 GUPTA Varun 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
254 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 99% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
254 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
256 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
257 OH Jaden 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
258 MORALES Ian N. 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
259 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
260 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
260 WONG Antonio 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
260 ARANA Massimo 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
263 LE Vyn A. 100% 97% 56% 13% 1% - -
264 WANG Ethan 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
265 BROWN Darius D. 100% 33% 4% - - - -
266 DETERING Julian 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
266 WERWA Griffith 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
268 ZARITSKY Theodore 100% 12% - - - - -
269 GALBAN Matthias L. 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
269 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
271 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 95% 53% 15% 2% - -
272 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
272 YU Jonathan J. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
272 POIROT Max 100% 31% 4% - - - -
272 DEES Reed 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
276 WENDELL Jay Z. 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
276 WOMACH Tristan 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
278 HOANG Michael 100% 29% 3% - - - -
278 FARRELL Spencer 100% 3% - - - - -
280 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -
280 YEE Johnathan 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
280 DIMARZIO Paul 100% 14% 1% - - - -
283 CHUBIRKA Jonathan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
283 GRESENS Jacob 100% 18% 1% - - - -
285 BOYLE Aiden P. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
285 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
287 CELJO Benjamin 100% 5% - - - - -
287 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 16% 1% - - - -
287 WAKEHAM Timothy 100% 5% - - - - -
290 HOGAN Gideon 100% 24% 2% - - - -
291 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.