National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7%
2 JEON Alexander E. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
3 SILVER Cameron - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 10%
3 WU Joseph 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3%
5 YU Colin - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
6 ADLER Ian B. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
7 MOON Ryan Y. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
8 SODERBERG Alex Z. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
9 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
10 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
11 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
12 MUNLIN Donovan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
13 JEONG Connor - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
14 CHONG christopher - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
15 SOOMRO Adam A. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
16 KUMAR Anitya - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
17 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
18 ROBINSON Riley - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
19 DELANEY Alexander D. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
20 JEYOON Ryan S. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
21 ROY Joseph T. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
22 LI Brian X - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
23 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
24 JIN Alexander 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
25 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
26 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
27 ALFAIATE Lucas 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
28 LIU John 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
29 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
30 LUKANYUK Lorence 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
31 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
32 KIM Ethan J. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
33 RHYU Kozmo 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3%
34 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 14%
35 INSLER Ethan C. - 2% 9% 24% 33% 24% 7%
36 SUVOROV Yuly - 3% 12% 27% 32% 21% 5%
37 LIEF Isaac R. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
38 CAI Brian - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
39 JOSEPH William 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
40 KROPP Jack 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
41 SCHULTZ Alex - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
42 KIM William M. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
42 MA Victor 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
42 JIN Owen - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
45 HOLDERNESS Landon 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
46 MARCHANT Albert J. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
47 CAI Kevin P. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
48 KARAUSKY Joshua C. - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
49 LEE Daniel Y. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
50 KILUK Andrew 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
51 CUMMINGS Kai 6% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -
52 NIXON Christian A. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
53 HODGE Jaydon L. 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
54 SILVERS Noah E. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
55 LEE Seungwon 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
56 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
57 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
58 NOWAK Jakub P. - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
59 DOELEMAN zeno - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
60 JAIN Sarthak 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
61 KUCZAJDA Matthew 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
62 DAVIS Scott 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
63 JIN daniel 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
64 WICKBOLDT Eric 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
65 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
66 O'HARA Keegan J. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
67 BHATNAGAR Ayan 5% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
68 YULE Alexander L. 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
69 BORATIN Daniel I. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
70 LAWLER Aidan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
71 STEVENS Daniel 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
72 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
73 KOKENGE Clark - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
74 BEACH John 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
75 MELCHER Jack H. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
76 CONKLIN Jim 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
77 SMITH Justin C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
78 WU Jason 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
79 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
80 LEHR William D. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
81 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
82 LEONE III Charles D. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
83 CLARK Ethan J. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
84 LIANG Aaron 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
85 ZHAO corey 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
86 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
87 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
88 GAINES Aaron 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
89 KIM Sterling S. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
90 MCDERMOTT Brian 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
91 LEE Timothy S. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
92 GAO Daniel 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
93 GREEN Ummi 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
94 TARBUSKOVICH III John 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
95 DUDLEY Logan M. 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% 1% -
95 BARREIRO Darren - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
97 LOGUE Ethan D. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
98 MOTIR Lucas D. - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
98 KIM Dylan J. 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
100 ROBERTS Samuel E. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
101 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
102 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
103 TIRRELL Justin J. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
104 WEAVER Neil 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
105 MAGDA Daniel 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
106 PAHLAVI Kamran 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
107 KOKENGE Reid 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
108 COMER Daniel T. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
109 COHEN Jared E. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
109 PARK Brian 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
109 MISHIMA Torata 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
109 ZHAO Luhan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
113 PERSAUD Daivik 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
114 KIM Byung 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
115 GREGORY Abram 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
116 TREBON Hayden 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
117 WEISE Eli S. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
117 CHAWLA Armaan 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
119 NOP Will H. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
120 BLAKE Randall K. 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
121 HE Lawrence 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
122 PARCELEWICZ John M. 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
122 WELDON Benjamin 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
124 KAJI Ty 7% 25% 33% 24% 9% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.