The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 7%
2 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
3 SILVER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 10%
3 WU Joseph 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
5 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
6 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
7 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
8 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
9 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
10 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
11 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
12 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
13 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
14 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
15 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
16 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 8%
17 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
18 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
19 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
20 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
21 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 LI Brian X 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
23 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
24 JIN Alexander 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
25 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
26 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
27 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 10% 1%
28 LIU John 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
29 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
30 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
31 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
32 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
33 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 16% 3%
34 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
35 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
36 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
37 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
38 CAI Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
39 JOSEPH William 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
40 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
41 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
42 KIM William M. 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
42 MA Victor 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
42 JIN Owen 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
45 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
46 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
47 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
48 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
49 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
50 KILUK Andrew 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
51 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 94% 73% 41% 15% 3% -
52 NIXON Christian A. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
53 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
54 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
55 LEE Seungwon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
56 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
57 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
58 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
59 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
60 JAIN Sarthak 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
61 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
62 DAVIS Scott 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
63 JIN daniel 100% 93% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
64 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
65 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
66 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
67 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
68 YULE Alexander L. 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
69 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
70 LAWLER Aidan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
71 STEVENS Daniel 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 12% 2%
72 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
73 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
74 BEACH John 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
75 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
76 CONKLIN Jim 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
77 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
78 WU Jason 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
79 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
80 LEHR William D. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
81 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
82 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
83 CLARK Ethan J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
84 LIANG Aaron 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
85 ZHAO corey 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
86 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
87 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
88 GAINES Aaron 100% 98% 88% 62% 31% 9% 1%
89 KIM Sterling S. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
90 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
91 LEE Timothy S. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
92 GAO Daniel 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
93 GREEN Ummi 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
94 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
95 DUDLEY Logan M. 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
95 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
97 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
98 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
98 KIM Dylan J. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
100 ROBERTS Samuel E. 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
101 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
102 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
103 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
104 WEAVER Neil 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
105 MAGDA Daniel 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
106 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
107 KOKENGE Reid 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
108 COMER Daniel T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
109 COHEN Jared E. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
109 PARK Brian 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
109 MISHIMA Torata 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
109 ZHAO Luhan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
113 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
114 KIM Byung 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
115 GREGORY Abram 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
116 TREBON Hayden 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
117 WEISE Eli S. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
117 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
119 NOP Will H. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
120 BLAKE Randall K. 100% 69% 29% 7% 1% - -
121 HE Lawrence 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
122 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
122 WELDON Benjamin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
124 KAJI Ty 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.