BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 2:30 PM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - 7% 38% 55%
2 RONA Milan - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
3 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 SMITH Justin C. - - - 6% 27% 46% 21%
5 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 IVE Isaac L. - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
7 CHIEN Brandon - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
8 SHUR Yakov C. - - 5% 21% 41% 30% 3%
9 SODERBERG Alex Z. - 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
10 YUMIACO Nolan C. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
11 CAI Brian - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
12 SINGHA Orion - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
13 WONG Daniel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
14 GAINES Aaron - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
15 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
16 HIGGINS Branford - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
17 WANG Devon 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
18 KIM Benjamin I. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
19 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
20 GRAYSON Shane W. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
21 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
22 CHIRASHNYA Adam 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
23 ARIETA Ryan T. - - 6% 27% 43% 23%
24 PARK Elliot - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 TSANG Lok Hin Gary - - 1% 7% 30% 47% 15%
26 DATTA Paul M. - 3% 22% 40% 28% 7%
27 AHN Gus 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
28 COOPER Rowan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
29 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
30 LO Jake 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
31 WEAVER Neil - 6% 27% 43% 20% 3% -
32 CHU Allan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
33 SHARMA Sanil - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 LEVITSKY Jonathan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
35 THORNE Casey B. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
36 ALVAREZ Ian T. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
37 WANG Nathan - - 4% 24% 47% 22% 2%
38 GULLO Kenji Y. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
39 YAO Geoffrey B. 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
40 ZHENG Haoran 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
41 PHUKAN Rohin - 7% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
42 WELDON Benjamin - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
43 GREEN Ummi - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
44 LOGUE Ethan D. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% -
45 KILUK Andrew - 2% 18% 41% 31% 8% 1%
46 ZHOU Stanley Q. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
47 ULINICH Alexander 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
48 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
49 LEE Chun Po 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
50 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
51 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
52 USHER Alexander - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
53 JIN daniel 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
54 CHIEN Zachary M. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
55 PHEN Justin P. - 3% 21% 41% 29% 6%
56 MUNOZ Humberto 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
57 MATTIS George 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
58 BAILEY Creston P. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
59 WESTON Tom 6% 30% 42% 18% 3% - -
60 KURITZ Marc M. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
61 KOPPE Alexander 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
62 MA Victor 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
63 YUEN Nathan 28% 54% 16% 2% - - -
64 CROSSMAN Brandon 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
65 LEE Joseph J. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
66 LIU Andrew - 1% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
67 GREEN Jabreel 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
68 WANG Owen 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
69 LIPTON Michael D. 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
70 BURLING Trenor 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
71 ALEXANDER Chuck - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
72 KIM Sullivan 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
73 WATT Darren 36% 51% 12% 1% - -
74 WILLIS Alan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
75 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
76 SHA Michael 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
77 CARTER Austin L. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
78 KNUDSEN Travis 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
79 MIAO Kunqi 50% 42% 7% - - - -
80 BAGCHI Aritra 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
81 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
82 DU Shunyu K. 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
83 GAO Chaney C. 43% 47% 9% 1% - -
84 LEE Richard U. 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
85 FU Leon 42% 43% 14% 2% - - -
86 LIU Yikun 60% 34% 6% 1% - - -
87 ZHANG Nathan 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.