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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 6, 2021 at 2:30 PM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
2 RONA Milan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
3 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
3 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 21%
5 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
6 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
7 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
8 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 3%
9 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
10 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
11 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
12 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
13 WONG Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
14 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
15 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
17 WANG Devon 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
18 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
19 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
20 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
21 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
22 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
23 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 23%
24 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
25 TSANG Lok Hin Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
26 DATTA Paul M. 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 7%
27 AHN Gus 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
28 COOPER Rowan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
29 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
30 LO Jake 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
31 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 3% -
32 CHU Allan 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
33 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
35 THORNE Casey B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
36 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
37 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24% 2%
38 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
39 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
40 ZHENG Haoran 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
41 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 93% 57% 18% 2% -
42 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
43 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
44 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% -
45 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
46 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
47 ULINICH Alexander 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
48 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
49 LEE Chun Po 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% - -
50 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
51 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
52 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
53 JIN daniel 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
54 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
55 PHEN Justin P. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
56 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
57 MATTIS George 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
58 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
59 WESTON Tom 100% 94% 64% 21% 3% - -
60 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
61 KOPPE Alexander 100% 97% 76% 40% 11% 1%
62 MA Victor 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
63 YUEN Nathan 100% 72% 18% 2% - - -
64 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
65 LEE Joseph J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
66 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
67 GREEN Jabreel 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
68 WANG Owen 100% 98% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
69 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
70 BURLING Trenor 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
71 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
72 KIM Sullivan 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
73 WATT Darren 100% 64% 13% 1% - -
74 WILLIS Alan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
75 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
76 SHA Michael 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
77 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
78 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
79 MIAO Kunqi 100% 50% 8% - - - -
80 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
81 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
82 DU Shunyu K. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
83 GAO Chaney C. 100% 57% 9% 1% - -
84 LEE Richard U. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
85 FU Leon 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
86 LIU Yikun 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
87 ZHANG Nathan 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.