Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 3, 2022 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, College Park Campus - Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ian C. - - 3% 17% 42% 31% 7%
2 NORTH Gary S. - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
3 SHAH S Ayush - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 CHONG christopher - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
6 NORTH Alexander M. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
7 JIN Owen - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
8 KUMAR Aidan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
9 CHO Tyler H. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
10 CLICK Aiden - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
11 KWOUN Miles S. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
12 KING Cameron - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
13 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
14 LI Jesse - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
15 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
16 MELCHER Jack H. - - 3% 16% 41% 33% 8%
17 GAO Daniel - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
18 GATZA Logan - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 7%
19 DEUCHER Joseph H. - - - 3% 19% 50% 27%
20 KROPP Jack - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
21 KIM Dylan J. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
22 WU Jonathan - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
23 LEE Samuel Y. 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
24 LEONE III Charles D. - - - 6% 28% 45% 21%
24 HERMANSON David B. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
26 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
27 HANSEN Lars - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
28 MORSE Tyler - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
29 DANIEL Camron 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
30 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
31 SU Caleb - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
32 SMITH Justin C. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
33 LEE Daniel Y. - - 1% 6% 26% 48% 20%
34 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
35 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
36 CAO Albert 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
37 VELINOV Gabriel - 7% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
38 CHEN Eric - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
39 SCHULZE Ethan - 5% 31% 43% 18% 3% -
40 ZHANG Caden - 5% 35% 43% 16% 2% -
41 WRIGHT Ezra B. - - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
41 DISIMONE David Z. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
43 USDIN Anton 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
44 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 16%
45 MAHESH Tarun 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
46 TRIMMER Colin - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
47 MATTO Edward J. 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
48 CHAWLA Armaan - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
49 WALTHER Bryan M. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
50 SHEN Max 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 3% -
51 HOFFMANN Christopher J. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
52 LIN Harrison 14% 47% 31% 8% 1% - -
53 MCGOVERN Vincent J. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
54 KOKENGE Reid - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20%
55 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 3% 22% 43% 26% 6% - -
56 CAO Brad - 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
57 SEID Zachary W. 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
58 WANG Trontour 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
59 MING Isaac 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
60 MCGUIRK Andrew 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% - -
61 TIRRELL Justin J. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
62 KOKENGE Chad 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
63 SO Lorenzo 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
64 TRITHART Jacob M. 53% 36% 10% 1% - -
65 DOAN Joseph M. - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 17%
66 SINGH Aryaman 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
67 PENNER Kyle D. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
68 TAMULONIS Fen C. - - 2% 15% 40% 34% 9%
69 DESAMOURS Georges H. - 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
70 DUAN Eric 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
71 HARDY Tristan L. - - - 3% 21% 46% 31%
72 ANDERSON Donald 20% 58% 19% 2% - - -
73 FULLER George K. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
74 MOREY Zachary D. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
75 PAN Colin - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
76 BAMPTON Nicholas J. - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
77 MCGOVERN Patrick 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
78 ILYAS Zakariya 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
79 EVANS Allen L. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
80 DUDLEY Logan M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
80 WILLIAMS Rhys 35% 44% 17% 3% - - -
82 PAPPAS Brian 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
83 KUCZAJDA Matthew 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
84 LAM Bill 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
85 MILLSON Daniel 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
86 MARKOWITZ William M. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
87 BOYKO Frank C. - 5% 31% 42% 18% 3% -
88 PHILLIPS Ethan D. 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
89 CALDERON Peter J. 15% 57% 25% 4% - - -
90 CHEN Brian 19% 51% 24% 5% - - -
90 SELLAR Ian 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
92 BUI Ryan 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
93 ZHANG Andy 32% 45% 19% 4% - -
94 GAUVEY Ken C. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
95 HUGHES Michael D. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
96 ROTHKA Spencer J. 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
97 HU Robert J. 20% 47% 26% 6% - - -
98 LI Jeffrey 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
99 CUCCIARRE Pace 53% 39% 8% 1% - - -
100 TRIPATHY Ayush 68% 31% 2% - - - -
101 BLACK Ethan 61% 34% 5% - - - -
101 CARNALL Hunter 72% 26% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.