Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 3, 2022 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, College Park Campus - Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7%
2 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
3 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
6 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
7 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
9 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
11 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
12 KING Cameron 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
13 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
14 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
15 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
16 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 8%
17 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
18 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 7%
19 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
20 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
21 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
22 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
23 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
24 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
24 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
26 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
27 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
28 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
29 DANIEL Camron 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
30 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
31 SU Caleb 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
32 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
33 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
34 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
35 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
36 CAO Albert 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
37 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% -
38 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
39 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 95% 64% 21% 3% -
40 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 95% 61% 18% 2% -
41 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
41 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
43 USDIN Anton 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
44 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
45 MAHESH Tarun 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
46 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
47 MATTO Edward J. 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1%
48 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
49 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
50 SHEN Max 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 3% -
51 HOFFMANN Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
52 LIN Harrison 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
53 MCGOVERN Vincent J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
54 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
55 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% - -
56 CAO Brad 100% 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% -
57 SEID Zachary W. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
58 WANG Trontour 100% 84% 43% 12% 1% - -
59 MING Isaac 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
60 MCGUIRK Andrew 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% - -
61 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
62 KOKENGE Chad 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
63 SO Lorenzo 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
64 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
65 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
66 SINGH Aryaman 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1% -
67 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
68 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
69 DESAMOURS Georges H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
70 DUAN Eric 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
71 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
72 ANDERSON Donald 100% 80% 22% 2% - - -
73 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
74 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
75 PAN Colin 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
76 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
77 MCGOVERN Patrick 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
78 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
79 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
80 DUDLEY Logan M. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
80 WILLIAMS Rhys 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
82 PAPPAS Brian 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
83 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
84 LAM Bill 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
85 MILLSON Daniel 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
86 MARKOWITZ William M. 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
87 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 100% 95% 63% 21% 3% -
88 PHILLIPS Ethan D. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
89 CALDERON Peter J. 100% 85% 29% 4% - - -
90 CHEN Brian 100% 81% 29% 5% - - -
90 SELLAR Ian 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
92 BUI Ryan 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
93 ZHANG Andy 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
94 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
95 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
96 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
97 HU Robert J. 100% 80% 33% 6% - - -
98 LI Jeffrey 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
99 CUCCIARRE Pace 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
100 TRIPATHY Ayush 100% 32% 2% - - - -
101 BLACK Ethan 100% 39% 5% - - - -
101 CARNALL Hunter 100% 28% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.