Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, February 21, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 1% 14% 85%
2 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 LEVY Jacob M. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 2% 27% 70%
5 UM Ethan A. - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
6 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
7 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
8 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
9 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - 2% 23% 74%
10 CHEN Andrew - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
11 KWON Ethan - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
12 CHEN Allen - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
13 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
14 LIN Dashiell - - 3% 16% 40% 37% 5%
15 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 3% 24% 49% 24%
16 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
17 PARK Luke J. - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
18 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - 5% 33% 62%
18 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
20 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
21 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
21 HUTH Mitchell - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
23 JAIN Aditya - - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
24 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 4% 25% 50% 20%
25 YU Vinni - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
26 DICKSON Farr R. - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
26 LAURICELLA Douglas - - 1% 9% 36% 43% 10%
28 LEE Jacob J - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
29 LIN Richard W. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
30 KO Brian J. - - - 3% 17% 46% 35%
31 ZHAO Jason L. - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 14%
32 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 28%
33 KASI Sanjay - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
34 KIM Brandon J. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
34 WU Jerry Z. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
36 ZHENG Alan H. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
37 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
38 LIU Niles J. - - - 2% 13% 42% 42%
39 BAS Liam - - 1% 7% 32% 44% 16%
40 HOWARD Michael 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
41 JANG Jaewon - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
42 HUTH Jacob - - 3% 18% 37% 33% 9%
43 KIM Yonjae - - 4% 20% 43% 28% 5%
44 LI Richard - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
45 BANERJEE ANUP - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
45 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 6% 24% 44% 27%
47 ONIK Elijah T. - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
48 YI Stephen K. - - 6% 26% 44% 23%
49 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
50 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 4% 22% 45% 25% 3%
51 ZHANG Henry C. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
52 GRIFFITH JACK - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
53 WU Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
54 SONG Leonardo T. - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
55 ZENG Lucas H. - - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
56 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
57 VOGLER Justin K. - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
58 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
59 DOCTOR Aidan L. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
60 LI Raphael C. - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
61 MITCHELL Philip D. - - 1% 14% 45% 40%
62 AHN Jun - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 3%
63 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
63 CANLAS Nathan - 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
65 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
66 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 3% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
67 KELLY William J. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
68 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 1% 13% 47% 33% 6%
69 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
70 LO Conrad - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
71 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
72 GAO William 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
73 YU Anders - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
74 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 1% 12% 36% 39% 12%
75 GOOR Julian - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
75 TSANG Matthew K. - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
77 YANG Luao - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
78 CULLIVAN Justice - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
79 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
79 MYERS Dean 19% 41% 30% 8% 1% < 1% -
81 TSAY Jeremy M. - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
82 BAE Kevin - 1% 7% 24% 40% 24% 4%
83 FU Samuel Y. - 2% 15% 35% 35% 11% 1%
84 REYES Omar 1% 13% 45% 34% 8% -
85 SINGH Dayaal - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
86 KAO Castor T. - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
87 BRUK Peter J. - - 5% 30% 53% 12%
88 SICHITIU Alexander - 10% 35% 39% 14% 2%
89 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
90 LEE Jacob 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
91 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - - 2% 14% 41% 44%
92 SCHENCK Koen M. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
93 BELLUOMO David C. - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
94 DAI Jonathan T. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
95 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 5% 26% 44% 21% 4% -
96 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 3% 17% 42% 35% 3%
97 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 12% 35% 39% 13%
98 VALOUEV Aleksey 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
99 VAZQUEZ Zander - 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
100 CHENG Matthew S. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
101 KNIZHNIK David - 7% 30% 41% 18% 3% -
101 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
103 BALL James T. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
104 GIRALDO Pablo E. - - 5% 25% 40% 25% 4%
105 LI Owen - - 4% 24% 46% 25%
106 SONG Aiden S. - 1% 10% 35% 41% 14%
106 CHENG Nathan - 4% 23% 49% 22% 2%
108 PRASANNA Advaith 19% 45% 29% 7% 1% -
109 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
110 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
111 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
112 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
113 XIAO EDWARD - - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6%
114 MAURER Ned (John) E. - - 2% 16% 42% 32% 7%
114 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
116 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - - 2% 12% 38% 39% 10%
117 LIN Michael 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
118 BAE Junnie - 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
119 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
120 ELKOUSY Laith H. 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
121 KIM Derek A. 1% 14% 42% 31% 10% 1% -
122 ZHANG Luke T. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10% 1%
123 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
124 MIN Eric - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
125 DANKAR Neel - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
126 HOBSON Aaron K. - 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
127 ORVANANOS Jorge - 10% 34% 38% 15% 2% -
128 CHI Alexander 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
129 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
130 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
131 BING Charles - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19% 1%
132 DU Samuel R. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
133 ZHENG zhe 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
134 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2%
135 JITTAN daniel - 3% 21% 44% 27% 5%
136 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 1% 13% 42% 34% 10% 1%
137 WOO Christian - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
138 NAGER Noah - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
139 SHEPHERD Conner M. 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
139 OH SEAN 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
141 LE Vyn A. 3% 21% 43% 27% 6% 1% -
142 LISONDRA Niko 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
143 KIM Andrew J. - 4% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
144 SIU Aiden - 4% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
145 LI Eric - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
146 WANG mason 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
147 YU Jonathan J. 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
148 JI Aidan Y. - 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
149 WYMAN Julian - 5% 25% 42% 23% 5% -
150 WILLIAMS Connor J. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
151 TEH Ryan 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
152 DARIANO Noah G. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18% 1%
153 KOBAL Maximilian 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
154 LEE Lukas 3% 28% 44% 21% 4% - -
155 OH Samuel H. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
156 SIMA Congyu Josh 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
157 BROWN Darius D. 21% 48% 26% 5% - - -
158 LIN James G. - 4% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
159 SHEN Owen 3% 32% 42% 20% 3% - -
160 HAN Lawrence - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
161 TSAO Lukas 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
161 SISINNI Riccardo 3% 29% 45% 20% 3% - -
163 DETERING Julian 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
164 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
165 LE Jacob W. 5% 38% 39% 16% 3% - -
166 CHIN Julian S. 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
167 NGUYEN Liam 17% 44% 32% 7% - -
168 REZNICK Nicholas J. - 5% 29% 46% 18% 2%
169 HSIUNG Richie 1% 18% 42% 31% 8% 1%
170 LIU Eric Y. 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
171 MA Andrew 6% 33% 41% 17% 3% -
172 EDISON Ansel 52% 39% 8% - - -
173 OTAKE Jared K. - - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
174 DIERKS Kian - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
175 DORAN Wesley C. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
176 UPTON Craig 2% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
177 LOVIN Vlad 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
178 SEAL Maximus R. 5% 37% 42% 14% 2% - -
179 KIM Ryan Y. 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
180 KIM Jackson 2% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
181 WU Michael 16% 45% 31% 7% 1% - -
182 LI Arvin 6% 30% 43% 17% 3% - -
183 DAVIS Christopher M. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
183 DINSAY Kristjan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
185 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 2% 22% 42% 27% 6% 1% -
186 CHENG Jonathan - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
187 KHER Roan 12% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
188 ROSE Ben 1% 8% 30% 41% 17% 2% -
189 KIM Aiden 2% 46% 39% 12% 1% - -
190 PO Oliver - 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
191 GOGOI Vir K. 1% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
192 FINNEY Lorenz 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% - -
193 GOLDADE Luke A. 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
194 SMITH Grant D. 40% 42% 16% 2% - - -
195 SALLEY Gus 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
196 PALMA Matthew Dominic 2% 29% 43% 22% 4% -
196 LI Samuel 14% 55% 27% 4% - -
198 PARK Sky 8% 37% 43% 11% 1% -
199 LI Matthew 6% 28% 42% 20% 4% -
199 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson 32% 51% 16% 2% - -
201 MORALES Ian N. 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
202 WU Alistair 42% 46% 11% 1% - -
203 LIM Charles Q. 12% 40% 38% 9% 1% -
204 LI Avery Peihong 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% 1% -
205 MCCOSH Evin M. 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
206 GEE Brandon 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
207 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
208 ROUNTREE Rob - 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
209 LIM Lance Jeremiah 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
210 MURUHIN Yaroslav 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
211 BERNABE Rafael 25% 47% 24% 4% - - -
212 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 2%
212 FINLEY Dylan 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
214 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
214 BAEK David 7% 49% 35% 9% 1% - -
216 YEE Johnathan 5% 37% 41% 15% 2% - -
217 WENDELL Jay Z. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
217 FLYNN Ian 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
217 DAVIDSON Elliot - 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
220 MILLER Aidan A. 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
220 PIESNER Zachary C. - 49% 38% 10% 1% - -
222 BERK Theodore 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
222 BROWN Alexander R. 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
222 LIPPMAN Sam 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
225 TSAI Max W. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
225 DESHMUKH Arjun 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
227 MUSHER Benjamin J. 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
227 PARK Gabriel 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
229 DENG Zijun 69% 27% 4% - - - -
230 HARRIS Rhonen 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
231 MENG Zhaoyi 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
231 AMMON Blue 51% 41% 8% - - - -
233 CAPRA Ethan 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
234 ALLEN Charlie R. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
235 DEDENBACH Joseph 13% 46% 35% 6% - -
236 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
237 TRAUGOT Owen G. 2% 16% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
237 QUINTERO Julian 73% 25% 3% - - - -
239 OH Jaden 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
240 HILMER Michael 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
241 FOLKERTS Paul 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
242 WU Lucas 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
242 PALWAI Suhas 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
244 MA Bryant 2% 19% 44% 28% 6% - -
245 PAE Brian L. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
245 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 21% 47% 26% 5% - - -
247 SANTOS Carlos R. 32% 46% 20% 2% - -
247 BATRA Dev 88% 12% 1% - - -
247 MILLON Amani 69% 28% 3% - - -
250 ANDERSON Jacob 5% 35% 41% 16% 2% - -
250 BOYKO Miles 68% 28% 4% - - - -
252 BROWN David 70% 27% 3% - - - -
252 SRINIVASAN Vedant 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
252 IRISH Thomas 80% 19% 1% - - - -
255 WOHLERS Trevor 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
256 NG Kenneth 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
256 SHAPIRO Leon 76% 22% 2% - - - -
258 JACK James 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
258 HSIAO Nicholas 24% 52% 21% 3% - - -
260 LEE Alex 79% 20% 2% - - - -
261 YOUNGBLOOD Woody C. 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
261 EXNICIOS Rex 94% 6% - - - - -
263 SCHUMANN Benjamin 99% 1% - - - - -
263 HOLCOMB Alexander 99% 1% - - - - -
265 GOLDEN Marshall 99% 1% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.