Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 KIM Dohyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
3 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
5 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
6 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
8 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
9 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
10 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
11 GAO Chaney C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
12 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
13 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
14 FU Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
15 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% -
16 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
17 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
18 WESTON Tom 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
19 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
20 WARD Edward 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
21 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
22 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
23 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
24 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
25 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
26 LIU Felix 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
27 KIM Darius H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
28 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
28 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
30 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
31 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
32 LO Jake 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
33 MING Nathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
34 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
35 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
36 LU Ivan 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
37 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
38 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
39 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
40 DAO Alexander 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
41 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
42 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
42 KENT V David 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
44 AYABINA JR John 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
45 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
46 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
47 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
48 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
49 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
50 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
51 SHA Michael 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
51 YUEN Nathan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
53 LOFTUS Luca 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
54 KIM Sullivan 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
55 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
56 LEE Chun Po 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
56 MIAO KUNQI 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
58 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
59 MCADOO Declan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
60 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
61 CHEN Bailey 100% 95% 64% 24% 5% - -
62 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
63 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
64 LEE JiYuen 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
65 PRAKASH Hari 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
66 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
67 NG Biwon 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
68 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
69 PARK Augustine 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
70 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
71 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
72 FANG Hanning 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
73 WANG owen 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
74 LIU Yikun 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
75 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
76 ZHANG Nathan 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
77 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
78 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
79 LIU Noah 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
80 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
81 REID James 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
82 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
83 CHOI San 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
84 LIU Yueri 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
85 CLAES Lucas 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
86 BAKKEN Archer 100% 21% 2% - - - -
87 XIAO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
88 YU Austin 100% 80% 43% 15% 3% - -
89 HINTON Evan 100% 37% 6% - - -
90 LI Yunji 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
91 LI zerong 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
92 SHEN Jiayi 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
92 DU Peter 100% 89% 44% 11% 2% - -
94 NUGENT Jack 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
94 FAN Joshua 100% 90% 51% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.