AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
2 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
3 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
5 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
6 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
7 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 1%
9 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
11 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
12 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
13 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
14 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
15 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
16 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
17 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
18 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
20 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
21 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
22 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
22 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
22 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
25 EVERS Gabriel 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
26 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
27 YUEN Nathan 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
28 AYABINA JR John 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
29 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
30 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
31 DENNIS Ethan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
32 GU Aidan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
33 WONG KEVIN 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 7%
34 FU Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
35 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
36 ZHANG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
37 WATT Darren 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
38 LIU Felix 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
39 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
40 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
41 BURLING Trenor 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
42 SARKAR agniv 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
43 TORRES Nicolas 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
43 BARNETT Devin 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
45 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
46 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
47 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
48 LEE Bryson 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
49 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
50 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
51 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
52 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
53 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
54 KIM Ian 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
55 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
56 JU Hanul 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
57 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
58 BEAVER Aaron 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
59 WANG owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
60 MIAO KUNQI 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
61 MCADOO Declan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2%
62 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
63 ZHUANG William 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
64 LEE JiYuen 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
65 ZACHES Torrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
66 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
67 MING Nathan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
68 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
69 DOWDELL Riley 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
70 WAI Andreas 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
71 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
72 DONDISCH ilan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
73 HARGROVE Kai 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
74 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
75 FANG Hanning 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
76 CHU Allan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
77 RAJ Shrey 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
78 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
79 LIU Noah 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
80 KUO Rylan 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
81 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
82 RYAN Seth C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
83 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
84 LIU Yikun 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
85 BHATT Arjun 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
86 GENCHEV Madav 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
87 SIM Ian 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
88 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
89 YU Austin 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
90 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
91 CLAES Lucas 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
92 BHARGAV Angad 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
93 KIM Taeho 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
94 LI Ethan R. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
95 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
95 HSU Alexander 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
97 LAU Christian 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 LI zerong 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
99 TETALI Vishwanath 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
100 MARTIN Charles 100% 95% 54% 16% 3% - -
101 CHOI Zachary 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
102 ANDERSON Kai 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
103 NG Biwon 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
104 PRAKASH Hari 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
105 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
106 MONDALA Adrian 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
107 CHANG Kristopher 100% 20% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.