Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
2 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
6 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
7 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
8 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
12 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
13 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
14 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
15 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
16 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
17 LI Owen 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
18 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
19 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 2%
20 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
21 LI Richard 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
22 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
23 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
24 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
24 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
26 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
27 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
28 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
29 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
30 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
31 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
32 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
33 WU Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
34 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
35 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
36 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
37 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% -
38 YANG Luao 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
39 KAO Castor T. 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
40 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 1%
41 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
42 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
43 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
44 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
45 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
46 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
47 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17% 1%
48 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
49 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
50 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
51 TANG Owen S. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
52 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
53 SHA Yi Peng 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
54 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
55 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
56 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
57 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
58 JAIN Aditya 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
59 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
60 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
61 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
62 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
63 DIERKS Kian 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
64 XIAO EDWARD 100% 79% 38% 10% 1%
65 LEE Chris 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
66 LUH Ethan K. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
67 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
68 LEWIS Akhil 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
69 BAS Liam 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
70 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
71 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
72 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
73 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
74 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 4%
75 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
76 SIU Aiden 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
77 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
78 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
79 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
80 ROSE Ben 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
81 BADLANI Dev 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
82 KNIZHNIK David 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
83 SONG Aiden S. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
84 JEON Caleb A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
85 KIM Brandon J. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
86 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
87 GOOR Julian 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
88 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
89 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
90 LEE Aidan 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
91 LI Raphael C. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
92 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
93 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
94 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
95 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
96 REYES Omar 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 KIM Jackson 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
98 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
99 OH SEAN 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
99 CHENG Jonathan 100% 72% 28% 5% 1% - -
101 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
101 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
103 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% -
104 KEE Andrew L. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
105 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
106 LI Eric 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
107 AHN Jun 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
108 JIANG Owen 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
109 GONG Benjamin 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
110 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
111 BING Charles 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
112 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
112 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
112 WYMAN Julian 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
115 DETERING Julian 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
116 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
117 LI Matthew 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
118 LIN James G. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
119 PO Oliver 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
119 PAN Henry 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
121 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
122 MA Andrew 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
123 JI Aidan Y. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
124 JOSEPH Willem 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
125 SONG Noel 100% 68% 21% 3% - - -
126 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
127 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
128 LIN Michael 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
129 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
129 MATSAKH Philip 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
131 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
132 MIALL Steven A. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.