Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | FOGELSON Frederick J. | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
2 | KIM Ryan Y. | D V V V V D | V V V V V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
3 | TRAUGOT Owen G. | V D V V V V | V V V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
3 | BING Charles | D V V V V V | V V V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
5 | STANLEY Mason B. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
6 | DIERKS Kian | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
7 | WYMAN Julian | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
8 | ROSE Ben | D D V V V V | V V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
9 | CULLIVAN Justice | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
10 | SONG Aiden S. | V V V V V V | V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
11 | DAI Jonathan T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
12 | DESHMUKH Arjun | V D V V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
13 | LEWIS Akhil | V V V D V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
14 | RUSADZE Nickolas | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
15 | AHN Jun | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
16 | ELWOOD Sebastian F. | V V V D D | V V V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
17 | KNIZHNIK David | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
18 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
19 | HOOSHI Jayden C. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
20 | JAIN Aditya | D V V V V V | V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
21 | HUTH Mitchell | V V V D V V | V V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
22 | GATRELL Mitchell E. | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
22 | DAVIDSON Elliot | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
24 | OH SEAN | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
24 | LIN James G. | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
26 | LUH Ethan K. | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
27 | MARTIN IV Elmer D. | V D D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
28 | MATSAKH Philip | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
29 | QIAN Jason H. | V V D V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
30 | PO Oliver | V V D D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
31 | LIN Michael | V D D D V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
32 | LANG Dong Lin | D V D D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
33 | COELHO Cristiano P. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
34 | SIU Aiden | V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
35 | HAN Changhee | V V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
36 | SICHITIU Alexander | V D V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
37 | SONG Leonardo T. | V D V V V V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
38 | LOVE Aaron | V V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
39 | TANG August L. | D V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
40 | REYES Omar | D V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
41 | FORTUNE Alexander J. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
42 | SENIC Lucas | D V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
43 | LEE Aidan | V V D V D V | V D | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
44 | TANG Albert | D D V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
45 | MOHAMED Murad | D V V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
46 | MYERS Dean | V D V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
47 | SADOVSKY Leor B. | V V D D V V | V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
48 | GONG Benjamin | V V V D V D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
49 | ELKOUSY Laith H. | D V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
50 | EDWARDS Maxon | V D V D V V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
51 | GAO William | V D V V D V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
52 | AKYAMAC Bora | V D V V D V | V V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
53 | MCISAAC Finn | V D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
54 | MIALL Steven A. | D V D D V V | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
55 | DINSAY Kristjan | D D V V D V | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
56 | LING Eddie | D D V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
57 | LI Eric | V D D D V V | V V D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
58 | NGUYEN Martin | D V V D D V | V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
59 | DERRICK Blake | V V V D D D | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
60 | LEE Jacob | D V D V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
61 | PORRAS Cristian | D V D V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
62 | RASMUSSEN Sage | V V D V D D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
63 | ZHAI Jeffrey | D D V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
64 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | D V D D D | V V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
65 | PARK Rion | V V V V V | D | 1.7 | 5 | +3.3 |
66 | KEE Andrew L. | V V D V V V | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
67 | TANG Owen S. | V V D V V V | D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
68 | TAN Aidan | V V V V D V | D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
69 | LI Matthew | V V V V V D | D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
69 | PARK Jason B. | V V V D V V | D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
71 | YOON DYLAN | V V V V D V | D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
72 | WONG Garrick G. | D V V V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
73 | TIKHAEV Alexander | V D V V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
74 | LI Arvin | V V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
75 | KIAYIAS Aris | D V V D V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
76 | LI Jett | D V V V V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
77 | LE Jacob W. | V V D D V V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
78 | LEE Christopher T. | V D V V V D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
79 | RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen | D V V V D V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
80 | MOHAMED Amir | D V V V D V | D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
81 | NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. | V V V D V D | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
82 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | V V V V D D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
82 | LEE Brendan | D V V D V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
84 | KLOTZ Isaiah | V V V V D D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
85 | REEVES Liam | V D V D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
85 | SIMA Congyu Josh | V D D V V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
87 | PYO Michael M. | D V D V V V | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
88 | XU Xinhao ( Sonny) | V D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
89 | YI William | V V V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
90 | LEE Jonah | V V D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
91 | PAI Lakshan K. | D V V V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
92 | CHOI Benjamin | V D D V V | V D | 0.7 | 3 | +2.3 |
93 | SAGE Michael P. | V V D V D D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
94 | YU Anders | V V D D V D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
95 | LIGOS Alex M. | D D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
96 | KAPOOR Aayan | V D D V V D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
97 | HE Xiangrui | D V D V D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
97 | EDISON Ansel | V D V V D D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
99 | XIE Buster | V V D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
100 | SHAGIDANYAN German | D V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
101 | HSIAO Nicholas | V D V D V D | V D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
102 | LEVY Jacob | D D V D V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
103 | ZHEN Ethan | D V D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
103 | YU William | V V D V D D | V D | 0.7 | 3 | +2.3 |
105 | LIU Ethan | V D V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
106 | WILLIAMS Connor J. | D D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
107 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | D V V D D D | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
108 | TAN Christien | D D V V D D | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
109 | KALIPERSAD Neil A. | V D D D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
110 | WANG Winston | D V D D V D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
111 | FUKUDA Diego | V D D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
112 | MEJIA MATTHEW D. | D V D V D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
112 | LEE Eugene | D D V V D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
114 | WANG Rory | D D V D V D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
115 | NICOLETTI Luca | V V D D D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
116 | LYNCH Owen C. | V V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
117 | CHENG Jonathan | V V D D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
118 | SONG Austin | D V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
119 | ZHAO Adam | D D V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
120 | GUTH Joseph | V D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
121 | KLYCZEK Andrew | D V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
122 | DRESSEL Jet | D D D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
123 | SHANNON Jack | D D D D D V | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
124 | ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO | D V D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
125 | JIANG Bowang | D D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
126 | KHER Roan | V D D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
127 | XU Andy P. | D D D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
128 | FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric | D D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
129 | MA Andrew | D V V D V D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
130 | FINLEY Dylan | D D V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
131 | HOSKERI Anik S. | V D D V D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
132 | WONG Antonio | D D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
133 | TANG Alexander L. | V V V D D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
134 | SHENG Dalton | D D V D V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
135 | BROWN Darius D. | V V V D D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
136 | ZHANG Aaron | V D V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
137 | YAO Bradley | D V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
138 | KIM Daniel Y. | V D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
139 | OH Jaden | D D D V D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
140 | KOVACS Wyatt | D D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
141 | HUANG Eythan | V D D D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
142 | GAO Payton | D D V D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
143 | TSAO Lukas | D V D D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
144 | MAO Lucas | V D D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
144 | SONG Noel | V D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
144 | YAP Nathan | V V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
147 | BERNABE Rafael | D D V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
148 | ZHAO Bowen | V D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
148 | VANOYEN Dominick | D D V D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
150 | WANG Brayden | V D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
151 | ORLOV Dmitriy | D D D V V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
152 | WONG Evan | D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
153 | WADLEY Brendan E. | V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
154 | PARRISH Evan | D D D D D V | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
155 | CAPRA Ethan | D V D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
156 | SANTOS Carlos R. | D D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
157 | LIM Lance Jeremiah | D D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
158 | HE Kyle | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
159 | LAO Kevin | D V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
160 | WU Lucas | D V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
160 | GUEVARA Isaac | D D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
162 | IVANENKO Alex | D D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
163 | BRAIZINHA Thomas | V D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
164 | ORNELAS Matteo | D D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
165 | LIU Zixian (Aaron) | D D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
165 | ZAIDI Adil | D D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
167 | PALMA Nathan Anthony | D V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
168 | CHEN Kelton | D D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
169 | LI Allen | D D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
170 | BELOKON Sammy | D V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
171 | BONOMO Sebastian J. | D D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
172 | AGRAWAL Niki | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
173 | KIM Andy | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
174 | SEMP Iain | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
175 | YU Jonathan J. | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
176 | MCKEE Calvin | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
176 | SMOLICH Marat | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
178 | ZHANG Lucas | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
179 | CHEN Kyle P. | D D D D D D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 | |
179 | BAI Brian | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
181 | CHUANG Oscar | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
181 | SELJAN Matt | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
183 | TAM Kyle | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
184 | BOWLES Kevin | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
184 | ZAPPALA Nikolai | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.