Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 4% 20% 47% 29%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
3 BING Charles - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
5 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 DIERKS Kian - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
7 WYMAN Julian - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
8 ROSE Ben - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
9 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 5% 30% 64%
10 SONG Aiden S. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
11 DAI Jonathan T. - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
12 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
13 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 21%
14 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
15 AHN Jun - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
16 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
17 KNIZHNIK David - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
18 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
19 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
20 JAIN Aditya - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
21 HUTH Mitchell - - - - 5% 30% 65%
22 GATRELL Mitchell E. - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
22 DAVIDSON Elliot - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3%
24 OH SEAN - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
24 LIN James G. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
26 LUH Ethan K. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
27 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 9% 25% 37% 23% 4%
28 MATSAKH Philip - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
29 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
30 PO Oliver - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
31 LIN Michael - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 3%
32 LANG Dong Lin - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
33 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
34 SIU Aiden - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
35 HAN Changhee - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
36 SICHITIU Alexander - - - 3% 18% 46% 32%
37 SONG Leonardo T. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
38 LOVE Aaron - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
39 TANG August L. 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
40 REYES Omar - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
41 FORTUNE Alexander J. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
42 SENIC Lucas 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
43 LEE Aidan - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
44 TANG Albert - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
45 MOHAMED Murad - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
46 MYERS Dean - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
47 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
48 GONG Benjamin - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11%
49 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
50 EDWARDS Maxon 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
51 GAO William - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
52 AKYAMAC Bora 3% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
53 MCISAAC Finn 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% -
54 MIALL Steven A. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
55 DINSAY Kristjan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
56 LING Eddie - 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
57 LI Eric - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
58 NGUYEN Martin - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
59 DERRICK Blake 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
60 LEE Jacob - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
61 PORRAS Cristian - - 2% 12% 31% 40% 15%
62 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
63 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 6% 27% 45% 23%
64 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 6% 28% 43% 20% 2%
65 PARK Rion 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% < 1%
66 KEE Andrew L. - - 2% 12% 36% 38% 12%
67 TANG Owen S. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
68 TAN Aidan 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
69 LI Matthew - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
69 PARK Jason B. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
71 YOON DYLAN 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
72 WONG Garrick G. - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
73 TIKHAEV Alexander 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
74 LI Arvin - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
75 KIAYIAS Aris 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
76 LI Jett 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
77 LE Jacob W. - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
78 LEE Christopher T. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
79 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
80 MOHAMED Amir - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
81 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
82 PALMA Matthew Dominic - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
82 LEE Brendan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
84 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
85 REEVES Liam - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
85 SIMA Congyu Josh - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 4%
87 PYO Michael M. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
88 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
89 YI William - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
90 LEE Jonah - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
91 PAI Lakshan K. 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
92 CHOI Benjamin 44% 43% 12% 1% - -
93 SAGE Michael P. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
94 YU Anders - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
95 LIGOS Alex M. 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
96 KAPOOR Aayan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
97 HE Xiangrui - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
97 EDISON Ansel 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
99 XIE Buster 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
100 SHAGIDANYAN German - 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
101 HSIAO Nicholas 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
102 LEVY Jacob 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
103 ZHEN Ethan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
103 YU William 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
105 LIU Ethan - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
106 WILLIAMS Connor J. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
107 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
108 TAN Christien - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
109 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
110 WANG Winston - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
111 FUKUDA Diego 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
112 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
112 LEE Eugene 5% 40% 39% 14% 2% - -
114 WANG Rory 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
115 NICOLETTI Luca - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
116 LYNCH Owen C. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
117 CHENG Jonathan - 4% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
118 SONG Austin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
119 ZHAO Adam 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
120 GUTH Joseph 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
121 KLYCZEK Andrew 5% 29% 42% 20% 4% -
122 DRESSEL Jet 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
123 SHANNON Jack 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -
124 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
125 JIANG Bowang 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
126 KHER Roan 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
127 XU Andy P. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
128 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
129 MA Andrew - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
130 FINLEY Dylan 2% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
131 HOSKERI Anik S. - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
132 WONG Antonio 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
133 TANG Alexander L. 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 4% -
134 SHENG Dalton 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
135 BROWN Darius D. 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
136 ZHANG Aaron 2% 17% 41% 31% 8% 1%
137 YAO Bradley 1% 10% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
138 KIM Daniel Y. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
139 OH Jaden 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
140 KOVACS Wyatt 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
141 HUANG Eythan - 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
142 GAO Payton 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
143 TSAO Lukas 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
144 MAO Lucas - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
144 SONG Noel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
144 YAP Nathan 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
147 BERNABE Rafael 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
148 ZHAO Bowen 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
148 VANOYEN Dominick 9% 39% 36% 14% 2% - -
150 WANG Brayden 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
151 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
152 WONG Evan 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
153 WADLEY Brendan E. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
154 PARRISH Evan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
155 CAPRA Ethan 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
156 SANTOS Carlos R. 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
157 LIM Lance Jeremiah 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
158 HE Kyle 12% 49% 30% 7% 1% - -
159 LAO Kevin 64% 31% 5% - - - -
160 WU Lucas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
160 GUEVARA Isaac 7% 43% 36% 12% 2% - -
162 IVANENKO Alex 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
163 BRAIZINHA Thomas 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
164 ORNELAS Matteo 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
165 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 7% 35% 38% 17% 3% - -
165 ZAIDI Adil 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
167 PALMA Nathan Anthony 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
168 CHEN Kelton 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
169 LI Allen 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
170 BELOKON Sammy 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
171 BONOMO Sebastian J. 52% 38% 10% 1% - - -
172 AGRAWAL Niki 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
173 KIM Andy 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
174 SEMP Iain 19% 46% 28% 6% - -
175 YU Jonathan J. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
176 MCKEE Calvin 75% 23% 2% - - - -
176 SMOLICH Marat 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
178 ZHANG Lucas 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
179 CHEN Kyle P. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
179 BAI Brian 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
181 CHUANG Oscar 15% 45% 31% 9% 1% - -
181 SELJAN Matt 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
183 TAM Kyle 79% 19% 1% - - - -
184 BOWLES Kevin 71% 26% 3% - - - -
184 ZAPPALA Nikolai 67% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.