National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
2 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 2% 24% 73%
3 CHEN Andrew - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
3 HUTH Jacob - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
5 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 27%
7 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
8 BAS Liam - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
9 UM Ethan A. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
10 LI Richard - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
10 CUK Veljko - - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
12 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
13 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
14 JAIN Aditya 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
15 LYU Weiqiao Victor - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
17 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
18 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 6% 24% 45% 25%
19 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
20 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
21 GRIFFITH JACK - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 32%
22 LU Yikai - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
23 LO Conrad - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
24 LIN Michael - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
25 LI Solin - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
26 BAGDÁNY Albert - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
27 LIU Jinning 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
28 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
29 OURSLER Jack - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
30 LEWIS Paul D. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
31 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
32 STANLEY Mason B. - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
33 GODZHIK Zachary - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13%
34 COELHO Cristiano P. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
35 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
36 YU Jason 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% < 1% -
37 WU Alexander - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
38 HUTH Mitchell - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 20%
39 SADOVSKY Leor B. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
40 YUEN Chi Shun Michael - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
41 AHN Jun - 4% 21% 42% 27% 5%
42 MYERS Dean 5% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
43 HUANG Dongrong - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
44 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
45 BING Charles 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
46 LEE Brendan 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 4% -
47 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
47 SIMA Congyu Josh 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
49 TARASIEWICZ Maxime 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
50 PADUA Carlos M. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
51 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
52 MURUHIN Yaroslav 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
53 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
54 BADLANI Dev 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
55 SONG Aiden S. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
56 SIU Aiden - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
57 JIANG Owen 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
58 GOOR Julian - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
59 ZOBEL Eric H. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
60 LEWIS Akhil - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
61 MION Lorenzo - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
62 MATSAKH Philip 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
63 MA Andrew 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
64 CANO Marcos E. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
65 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
65 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
67 BUDOVSKYI Borys - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
68 BURKE Spencer W. - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
69 QIAN Jason H. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
70 LI Raphael C. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
71 BANERJEE ANUP - - 2% 9% 28% 41% 21%
72 WOO Christian 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 3%
73 KAO Castor T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
74 PORRAS Cristian - 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
75 BAE Kevin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
76 HAN Changhee 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
77 CHEN Allen - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
78 HUANG Eythan 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
78 SISINNI Riccardo - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
80 YANG Luao - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
80 MOHAMED Amir - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
82 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
83 CO Dylan 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
84 KIM Harrison 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
85 SONG Noel 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
86 SHAGIDANYAN German 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
87 CHEN Kyle P. 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
87 BUDAHÁZY Ambrus 42% 40% 15% 2% - -
89 KEE Andrew L. 1% 13% 34% 35% 16% 3%
90 GONG Benjamin 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
91 CHENG Ethan 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
92 PO Oliver 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
92 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
94 TIYA BIAYA K. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
95 RUBIN Mattia 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
96 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
97 ELKOUSY Laith H. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
98 WU Alber Y. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
99 DIERKS Kian 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
100 YOON DYLAN 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
100 HE Patrick - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
102 LEE Benjamin H. - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 13%
103 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
104 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
105 CHEUNG Ngo Chun 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
106 OROVECZ Gergely 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
107 SINGH Dayaal - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
108 TAHOUN Mostafa 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
108 CANLAS Nathan - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
110 DESHMUKH Arjun - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 4%
111 KIM Ryan Y. 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
112 VOGLER Justin K. - - 1% 10% 34% 46% 8%
112 FUKUDA Diego 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
114 ZHAO Jason L. - 6% 22% 38% 27% 6% -
115 KIM Yonjae - - 1% 11% 36% 39% 12%
116 WONG Adrian 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
117 LIN James G. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
118 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
119 DAI Jonathan T. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
120 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
121 BÁLINT Álmos - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
122 WONG Garrick G. 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
123 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
124 WYMAN Julian 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
125 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
126 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
127 LING Xiangqian(Daniel) 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
128 KIM Brian 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
129 TANG August L. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
130 ONIK Elijah T. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
131 TANG Owen S. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
132 HSU Sheng Hung 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
133 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
134 TANG Albert 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
135 ROSE Ben - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
136 MIN Eric 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
137 LI Matthew 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
138 YU Anders 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
139 BARMAKOV Bogdan - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
140 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 3% 16% 41% 32% 8%
141 DINSAY Kristjan 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
142 MOHAMED Murad 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
143 PARK Jason B. 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1%
144 WANG Winston 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
145 LI Eric 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
146 WUJASTYK Leon 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
147 DERRICK Blake 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
148 REYES Omar 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
149 GUTH Joseph 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% - -
150 LE Jacob H. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
151 OH SEAN 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
152 GUO Justin 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
153 RUFFNER Blake W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 14% 2%
154 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
154 AKYAMAC Bora 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
156 MIALL Steven A. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
157 KWON Ethan - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
158 REEVES Liam 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
158 LI Avery Peihong 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
160 KNOEPFFLER Alex 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
160 RAJ Jay 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
162 XIE Buster 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
163 JANG Jaewon - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
164 DOCTOR Aidan L. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
164 SEZER Kaya - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
166 KNIZHNIK David - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
167 PARK Sky 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
168 MCISAAC Finn 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
169 ZHAO Adam 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
170 XU Andy P. 9% 40% 38% 12% 1% -
171 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
172 RASMUSSEN Sage 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
173 STRUGAR Marcus A. 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
173 SOMMER Marci 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
175 SENIC Lucas 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
176 CHENG Jonathan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
177 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
178 ARIZA Isaac A. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
178 GRIFFIN John O. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
180 JAUME Andrei 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
181 KIM Minhyeok 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
182 LING Eddie 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
183 GATZA Logan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
183 ZHANG Yun Isaac 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
183 TIKHAEV Alexander 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
186 NGUYEN Martin 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
187 XU Ethan 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
187 LI Toby 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
189 LIU Derek 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
189 HUANG Jonathan 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
191 MURRAY Maximo 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
191 KLOTZ Isaiah 3% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
193 FUKUDA Renzo K. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
194 LEE Jonah 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
195 LEE Jacob 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
196 EDISON Ansel 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
197 GATRELL Mitchell E. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
198 ESPINOZA Joaquin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
199 CORTRIGHT Skipper 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
199 LEE Eugene 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
201 FORTUNE Alexander J. 8% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
202 SHENG Dalton 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
203 DAVIDSON Elliot 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
204 SONG Leonardo T. < 1% 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
205 ZHANG Aaron 16% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
206 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
206 LI Arvin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
206 ANDRIC Borna 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
209 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 74% 23% 3% - - -
210 WONG Antonio 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
211 ARCE Andrew W. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
211 WONG Yuheng Isaac 31% 49% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.