National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
2 MA Victor - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
3 NIXON Christian A. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
3 LEONE III Charles D. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
5 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 VEZMAR Evan H. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
7 LEHR William D. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 28% 10%
8 WU Byron - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
9 GALLO James - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
10 STEVENS Daniel - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
11 ZEFF Mati - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
12 KIM Benjamin I. - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
13 BORODITSKY Ethan 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
14 WU Jason 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
15 GUMAGAY Paul - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
16 KOPPE Alexander 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 ZHAO Luhan 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
17 JOSEPH William - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
19 CHEN Eric - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
20 TREBON Hayden 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
21 ELYADERANI Paxon - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
22 MORTON William 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
23 MCALISTER Ian 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
24 YULE Alexander L. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
25 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
26 ZHAO corey - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
27 JACKSON James - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
28 RYAN Joshua P. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
29 KAUFMANN Connor G. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 PRIHODKO Max - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
31 ALVAREZ Ian T. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
32 DU Drake 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
33 JIN daniel - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
34 KIM Byung 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
35 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
36 CHOI Mason 1% 5% 18% 30% 29% 14% 3%
37 LIEF Isaac R. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
38 PAHLAVI Kamran - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 PARK Frederick 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
40 WANG Eric S - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
41 CARRIER Gabriel A. 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
42 AU Marcus J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
42 CHU Allan 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
44 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
45 MOON Ryan Y. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
46 MICKO Fritz K. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
47 ROY NATHAN J 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
48 SHEN Max - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
49 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
50 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. - - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
51 GULLO Kenji Y. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
51 JAIN Sarthak - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
53 TARBUSKOVICH III John - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
54 CAO Albert 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
55 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
55 KENT Dwain 3% 14% 28% 30% 18% 6% 1%
57 WANG Tristan 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
58 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
59 SONG Ervin - 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
60 MARRAN Erik R. - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 4%
61 GREEN Ummi - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
62 CLARK Carson 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
63 SAN JUAN Carlos 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
64 KIM Dylan J. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
65 WADE Grayson 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
66 WANG Clayton 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% < 1% -
67 MISHIMA Torata - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
68 KUCZAJDA Matthew - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
69 SIMPSON Patrick - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
70 LIANG Aaron - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
71 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
72 LURVEY Samuel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
73 DISIMONE David Z. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
74 CONKLIN Jim - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
75 WERCHAN Andrew R. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
76 WANG Darren 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
77 USHER Alexander - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
78 TAKATA Benjamin 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
79 HAW Keith F. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
80 LEE Seungwon 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
80 WEAVER Neil 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
82 ZEFF Avi - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
83 LEE Chun Po 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
84 NOVOJILOV Alexei 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
85 WELDON Benjamin - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
86 LI Patrick - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
87 PRABHAKAR vibhav 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
88 GUNDA Saketh 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
88 PARCELEWICZ John M. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
90 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
91 ZHANG William 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
92 RYAN Christopher 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
93 HUANG Stephen T. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
93 MAGDA Daniel - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
95 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
96 LI Jalen 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
97 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
98 HOLDERNESS Landon - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
99 KHANNA Keshav 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
100 GU Brian 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
101 PHUKAN Rohin 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
102 KWONG Jason 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
103 HINMAN Andrew 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
104 LIM Joshua 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
105 KORTZ Austin 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
106 HEKMAT Sina R. 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
107 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
108 PATENAUDE Kameron 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1%
109 BARGE Jackson 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
110 LI Jeffrey 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
111 WALSH Joseph Thomas (Joe Thomas) A. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
112 JONES Dominic R. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
113 BHARGAV Siddharth 3% 24% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
114 KARKI Salyan 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
115 HARR Carver 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
116 HODGE Jaydon L. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6%
116 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
118 KUO Elvin 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
119 WENGER Caleb 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
119 NIKOLOV Peter 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
119 GORTI Agustya 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
119 DAVIS Scott 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
123 DAVIS Daniel 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
124 ILYAS Zakariya 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
125 LIM Matthew T. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
126 MATTO Edward J. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
127 O'HARROW Tristan C. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
128 WONG KEVIN 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
129 YI Stephen K. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
129 WANG Aidan 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
131 KENT Matthew 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
132 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
133 BASOK Nikita 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
134 BANNEN Nicholas 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
135 SERAFIN Ben 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
136 WHITEHURST JJ 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% -
137 BLUM Oliver - 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
137 CHARLES Matthew J. 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
137 WU Jonathan 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
140 SVIBEN Cameron 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
141 WINTERSHEIMER Adam - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
142 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
143 CHOE Andrew 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
144 CHRISTENSEN Parker 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
145 MELCHER Charles 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
146 GREEN Jabreel - 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 4%
146 HART Jackson 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
148 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
149 FENWICK Luke A. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
150 PARKS Isaac 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
151 DAVIS Jonah 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
152 COSTA joao 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
152 PARK Vincent - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
154 TAROLLI Alexander 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
155 WANG Kevin 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
156 DUDLEY Logan M. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
157 VANDERLINDEN Brian 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
158 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
159 PARKER Riley D. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
159 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
161 ANDERSON Donald 93% 7% - - - - -
162 REITINGER Luke M. 64% 30% 5% - - - -
162 COMER Alexander J. 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.