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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
2 MA Victor 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
3 NIXON Christian A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
3 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
5 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
6 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
7 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 10%
8 WU Byron 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
9 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
10 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
11 ZEFF Mati 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
12 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
13 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
14 WU Jason 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
15 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
16 KOPPE Alexander 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
17 ZHAO Luhan 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 10% 1%
17 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
19 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
20 TREBON Hayden 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
21 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
22 MORTON William 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
23 MCALISTER Ian 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
24 YULE Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
25 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
26 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
27 JACKSON James 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
28 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
29 KAUFMANN Connor G. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
30 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
31 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
32 DU Drake 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 JIN daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
34 KIM Byung 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
35 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
36 CHOI Mason 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
37 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
38 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
40 WANG Eric S 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
41 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
42 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
42 CHU Allan 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
44 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
45 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
46 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
47 ROY NATHAN J 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
48 SHEN Max 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
49 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
50 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
51 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
51 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
53 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
54 CAO Albert 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
55 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
55 KENT Dwain 100% 97% 83% 55% 25% 6% 1%
57 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
58 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
59 SONG Ervin 100% 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
60 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
61 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
62 CLARK Carson 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
63 SAN JUAN Carlos 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
64 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
65 WADE Grayson 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
66 WANG Clayton 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% < 1% -
67 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
68 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
69 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
70 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
71 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 40% 10%
72 LURVEY Samuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
73 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
74 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
75 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
76 WANG Darren 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
77 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
78 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
79 HAW Keith F. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
80 LEE Seungwon 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
80 WEAVER Neil 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
82 ZEFF Avi 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
83 LEE Chun Po 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% -
84 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
85 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
86 LI Patrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
87 PRABHAKAR vibhav 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
88 GUNDA Saketh 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
88 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
90 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
91 ZHANG William 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
92 RYAN Christopher 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
93 HUANG Stephen T. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
93 MAGDA Daniel 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
95 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
96 LI Jalen 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
97 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
98 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
99 KHANNA Keshav 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
100 GU Brian 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
101 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
102 KWONG Jason 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
103 HINMAN Andrew 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
104 LIM Joshua 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
105 KORTZ Austin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
106 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
107 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
108 PATENAUDE Kameron 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1%
109 BARGE Jackson 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
110 LI Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 9% 1%
111 WALSH Joseph Thomas (Joe Thomas) A. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
112 JONES Dominic R. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
113 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 97% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
114 KARKI Salyan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
115 HARR Carver 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
116 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
116 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
118 KUO Elvin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
119 WENGER Caleb 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
119 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
119 GORTI Agustya 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
119 DAVIS Scott 100% 99% 92% 70% 39% 13% 2%
123 DAVIS Daniel 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
124 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
125 LIM Matthew T. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
126 MATTO Edward J. 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
127 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
128 WONG KEVIN 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
129 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
129 WANG Aidan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
131 KENT Matthew 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
132 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
133 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
134 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
135 SERAFIN Ben 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
136 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
137 BLUM Oliver 100% 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
137 CHARLES Matthew J. 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
137 WU Jonathan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
140 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
141 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
142 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
143 CHOE Andrew 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
144 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
145 MELCHER Charles 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
146 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
146 HART Jackson 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
148 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
149 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
150 PARKS Isaac 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
151 DAVIS Jonah 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
152 COSTA joao 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
152 PARK Vincent 100% 100% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
154 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
155 WANG Kevin 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
156 DUDLEY Logan M. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
157 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
158 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
159 PARKER Riley D. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
159 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
161 ANDERSON Donald 100% 7% - - - - -
162 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 36% 6% - - - -
162 COMER Alexander J. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.