Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
2 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
3 KROPP Jack - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
5 CHONG christopher - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
7 GAO Daniel - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
8 KHANNA Nikhil - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
9 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
10 WU Jonathan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
11 PARK Ian C. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
12 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
13 CHEN Eric - 1% 9% 32% 40% 18%
14 WOZNIAK Ignacy - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
15 KUMAR Aidan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
16 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
17 SU Caleb - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
18 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
19 LEE Shwan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
20 LEE Seungwon - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
21 HEADRICK Lance 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
22 KING Cameron - - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
23 KIM Dylan J. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
24 NIKOLOV Peter - 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
25 WOLFE Alex 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
26 SCHULZE Ethan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
27 CHAI Jonathan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
28 JORDAN Anton - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
29 NOVOJILOV Alexei - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
30 TIRADO Giancarlo 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
31 WANG Trontour 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
32 ZHANG Caden 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
33 CAO Albert - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
34 HE Lawrence - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
34 GILLER Augustus 9% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
36 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
37 JONES Tyler 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
38 FELDMAN Jaemin - 1% 15% 37% 35% 11%
39 STEVENS Daniel - 2% 18% 39% 32% 9%
40 CHAWLA Armaan - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
41 ZENG Zihan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
42 WANG Tristan - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
43 SPITTLE Jake - 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
44 TREBON Hayden - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
45 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
46 LEE JoonWon - 5% 24% 39% 24% 6% 1%
47 LAM Bill 11% 34% 37% 15% 3% - -
48 BERNARD Jack B. 10% 58% 27% 5% - -
49 TRIMMER Colin - 1% 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
50 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
51 ILYAS Zakariya 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
52 KIM Taeho 11% 41% 35% 11% 2% - -
53 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 5% 54% 33% 7% 1% - -
54 PAN Tristan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
55 CHOI Aleksey 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
56 KARNAS Karol - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
57 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
58 DAN Rex 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
59 FU Ethan 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
60 LOISEAU Eliott 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
61 DUAN eric 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
62 WEI Michael 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
63 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 61% 33% 6% - - - -
64 CURRY Samuel 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
65 MORAN Joseph 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
66 ZHANG Andy 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
67 SO Lorenzo 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
68 HU Anton 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
69 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 35% 48% 15% 1% - - -
70 HU Robert J. 13% 51% 28% 6% 1% - -
71 AMOLSCH Dylan 59% 35% 6% - - - -
72 CIGLIANO Benjamin I. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
73 YU Austin 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
74 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 78% 20% 1% - - -
75 LEE HUSEUNG 88% 11% - - - - -
76 SNIDER Emmitt 10% 38% 39% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.