Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
3 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
5 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
9 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
10 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
11 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
12 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
13 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
14 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
15 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
16 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
17 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
18 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
19 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
20 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
21 HEADRICK Lance 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
22 KING Cameron 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 24% 3%
23 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 37% 7%
24 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
25 WOLFE Alex 100% 99% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
26 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
27 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
28 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
29 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
30 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
31 WANG Trontour 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
32 ZHANG Caden 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
33 CAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
34 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
34 GILLER Augustus 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
36 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
37 JONES Tyler 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
38 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
39 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
40 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
41 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
42 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
43 SPITTLE Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
44 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
45 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% -
46 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
47 LAM Bill 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
48 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 90% 32% 5% - -
49 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
50 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
51 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
52 KIM Taeho 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
53 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 95% 41% 8% 1% - -
54 PAN Tristan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
55 CHOI Aleksey 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
56 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
57 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
58 DAN Rex 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
59 FU Ethan 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
60 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
61 DUAN eric 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
62 WEI Michael 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
63 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 39% 6% - - - -
64 CURRY Samuel 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% - -
65 MORAN Joseph 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
66 ZHANG Andy 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
67 SO Lorenzo 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
68 HU Anton 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
69 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 100% 65% 17% 2% - - -
70 HU Robert J. 100% 87% 36% 7% 1% - -
71 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 41% 6% - - - -
72 CIGLIANO Benjamin I. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
73 YU Austin 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
74 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 22% 1% - - -
75 LEE HUSEUNG 100% 12% - - - - -
76 SNIDER Emmitt 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.