Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STRAUSS Luke - 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
2 SINGHA Orion - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 LOGUE Ethan D. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
5 ZHENG Haoran - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
6 MATTIS George - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
7 KIM Benjamin I. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
8 PAK Elliot - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
9 GALLO James - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
10 SHUR Yakov C. - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
11 WONG Chi Ho - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
12 JONES Caleb - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
13 JIN Daniel - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
14 LO Jake - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
15 LIN Kyran - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
16 KIM Darius H. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
17 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
18 JEON Alexander E. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
19 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
20 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
21 KIM Nathan - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
22 GAO Chaney C. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
22 YUE Hongrui 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
24 KIM Ian - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
25 MCADOO Declan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
26 CHU Allan 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
27 ZAYDMAN David M. - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
28 MARCHETTI Ludovico - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
29 SARKAR Anish - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
30 KENT V David 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
31 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
31 FU Leon - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
33 KIM Sullivan - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
34 LU Ivan - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
35 SCHROEDER Dylan 1% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
36 TONG Samuel 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
37 KUO Rylan 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
38 BUERGISSER Kai 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
39 PARKER Lane S. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
40 MENDOZA Zachari - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
41 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
42 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
43 KIM Taeho 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
44 WATT Darren - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
45 YU Austin 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
46 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
47 DOWDELL Riley 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
47 LEE Damien 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
49 ULINICH Alexander - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
50 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
51 ZHUANG William 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
52 CROSSMAN Brandon 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
53 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
54 CHOI San 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
55 LIU Yikun 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 LEE Bryson 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
57 CHEN Bailey 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
58 ZHANG Alec - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3%
59 CHRISTENSEN Parker 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
60 WANG owen 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
61 JAIN Samyak 21% 46% 27% 6% - -
62 DAO Alexander 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
63 JU Hanul 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
64 CLAES Lucas 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
65 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 2% 18% 41% 31% 7% 1%
66 SINHA Zaan 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
67 LIU Noah 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
68 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
69 LOMIO Nicholas A. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
69 PRAKASH Hari 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
71 MCDONALD Ethan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
72 LI Ethan R. 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
73 CHOI Zachary 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
74 GU Aidan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
75 KIM Teddy 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
76 PAINTER Noah 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
77 SIM Ian 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
78 KNUDSEN Travis 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
79 LI zerong 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
80 CHRISTODOULIDES Martinos 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
81 ZHAO Colin 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.