Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
2 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
3 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
7 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
8 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
9 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
10 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
11 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
13 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
14 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
15 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
16 KIM Darius H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
17 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
18 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
19 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
20 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
21 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
22 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
22 YUE Hongrui 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
24 KIM Ian 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
25 MCADOO Declan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
26 CHU Allan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
27 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
28 MARCHETTI Ludovico 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
29 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
30 KENT V David 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
31 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
31 FU Leon 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
33 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
34 LU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
35 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
36 TONG Samuel 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
37 KUO Rylan 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
38 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
39 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
40 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
41 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
42 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
43 KIM Taeho 100% 88% 48% 15% 2% - -
44 WATT Darren 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
45 YU Austin 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
46 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
47 DOWDELL Riley 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
47 LEE Damien 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
49 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
50 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
51 ZHUANG William 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
52 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
53 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
54 CHOI San 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
55 LIU Yikun 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
56 LEE Bryson 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
57 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
58 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
59 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
60 WANG owen 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
61 JAIN Samyak 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
62 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
63 JU Hanul 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
64 CLAES Lucas 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
65 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% 1%
66 SINHA Zaan 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
67 LIU Noah 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
68 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
69 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
69 PRAKASH Hari 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
71 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
72 LI Ethan R. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
73 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
74 GU Aidan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
75 KIM Teddy 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
76 PAINTER Noah 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
77 SIM Ian 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
78 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
79 LI zerong 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
80 CHRISTODOULIDES Martinos 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
81 ZHAO Colin 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.