Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
3 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
5 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
8 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
9 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
10 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
11 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
12 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
13 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
14 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
15 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
16 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
17 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
18 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
19 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
20 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
21 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
22 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
22 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
24 OH SEAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
24 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
26 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
27 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 4%
28 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
29 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
30 PO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
31 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
32 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
33 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
34 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
35 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
36 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
37 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
38 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
39 TANG August L. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
40 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
41 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
42 SENIC Lucas 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
43 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
44 TANG Albert 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 12% 1%
45 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
46 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
47 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
48 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
49 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
50 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
51 GAO William 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
52 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
53 MCISAAC Finn 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
54 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
55 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
56 LING Eddie 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
57 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
58 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
59 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
60 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
61 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
62 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
63 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
64 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 94% 65% 22% 2%
65 PARK Rion 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% < 1%
66 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
67 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
68 TAN Aidan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
69 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
69 PARK Jason B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
71 YOON DYLAN 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% -
72 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
73 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
74 LI Arvin 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
75 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
76 LI Jett 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
77 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
78 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
79 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
80 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
81 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
82 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
82 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
84 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% 1%
85 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
85 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
87 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
88 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
89 YI William 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
90 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
91 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
92 CHOI Benjamin 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
93 SAGE Michael P. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
94 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
95 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
96 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
97 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
97 EDISON Ansel 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
99 XIE Buster 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
100 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 1%
101 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
102 LEVY Jacob 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
103 ZHEN Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
103 YU William 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
105 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
106 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
107 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
108 TAN Christien 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
109 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
110 WANG Winston 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
111 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
112 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
112 LEE Eugene 100% 95% 55% 16% 2% - -
114 WANG Rory 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
115 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
116 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
117 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
118 SONG Austin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
119 ZHAO Adam 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
120 GUTH Joseph 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
121 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
122 DRESSEL Jet 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
123 SHANNON Jack 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
124 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
125 JIANG Bowang 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
126 KHER Roan 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
127 XU Andy P. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
128 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
129 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
130 FINLEY Dylan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
131 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
132 WONG Antonio 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
133 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
134 SHENG Dalton 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
135 BROWN Darius D. 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
136 ZHANG Aaron 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
137 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
138 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
139 OH Jaden 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
140 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 98% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
141 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
142 GAO Payton 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
143 TSAO Lukas 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
144 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
144 SONG Noel 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
144 YAP Nathan 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
147 BERNABE Rafael 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
148 ZHAO Bowen 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
148 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 91% 52% 16% 3% - -
150 WANG Brayden 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
151 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
152 WONG Evan 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
153 WADLEY Brendan E. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
154 PARRISH Evan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
155 CAPRA Ethan 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
156 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
157 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 96% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
158 HE Kyle 100% 88% 38% 8% 1% - -
159 LAO Kevin 100% 36% 5% - - - -
160 WU Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
160 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 93% 50% 14% 2% - -
162 IVANENKO Alex 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
163 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
164 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
165 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
165 ZAIDI Adil 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
167 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 94% 64% 24% 5% - -
168 CHEN Kelton 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
169 LI Allen 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
170 BELOKON Sammy 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
171 BONOMO Sebastian J. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
172 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
173 KIM Andy 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
174 SEMP Iain 100% 81% 34% 7% - -
175 YU Jonathan J. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
176 MCKEE Calvin 100% 25% 2% - - - -
176 SMOLICH Marat 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
178 ZHANG Lucas 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
179 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
179 BAI Brian 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
181 CHUANG Oscar 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
181 SELJAN Matt 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
183 TAM Kyle 100% 21% 1% - - - -
184 BOWLES Kevin 100% 29% 3% - - - -
184 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 33% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.