January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHEN Andrew - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 14%
2 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
5 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
6 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
7 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 17% 7% 2% -
8 OURSLER Jack - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
9 CHEN Allen - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
10 YU Jason - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% < 1% -
11 LI Richard Y. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
12 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
13 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
14 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 1% 4% 13% 25% 29% 20% 7% 1%
15 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
16 DESERANNO Jeidus - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
17 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 28% 24% 12% 3% -
18 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 27% 20% 9% 2%
19 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 5% 29% 65%
20 BAS Liam - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 WU Alexander - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 24% 11% 2%
22 LEWIS Akhil - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
23 SIU Aiden - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 8% 1%
24 KAO Castor T. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
25 MOHAMED Amir - - - 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - -
26 HUTH Mitchell - - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 21% 8% 1%
27 UM Ethan A. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
28 YANG Adam - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 22% 10% 3% -
29 HASHIMOTO Shoei - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 27% 29% 17% 4%
30 CHEN Raymond - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 9% 2% -
31 BURKE Spencer W. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
32 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
33 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
34 KUMBLA Samarth - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
35 JEON Caleb A. - - - - 2% 9% 22% 31% 24% 10% 2% -
36 HASSANIN Mohamed - - 3% 10% 21% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - -
37 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
38 CULLIVAN Justice - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 LI Solin - - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% -
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
41 KNIZHNIK David - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1% -
42 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
43 KASI Sanjay - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 4% -
44 CHALUT Etienne - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% 1% - - -
45 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - - - 1% 7% 19% 31% 28% 12% 2%
46 MURUHIN Yaroslav - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1% - -
47 GRASS Andrew E. - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1% -
48 LIN Michael - - - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 6% 1% -
49 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 26% 13% 3%
50 KIM Yonjae - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 3% -
50 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 11% 1%
52 MYERS Dean - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - - -
53 LIN Youlong - - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - -
54 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
55 LEWIS Paul D. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
56 DIERKS Kian - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
57 YANG Luao - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
58 WOO Christian - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
59 WANG Aaron - - - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
60 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
61 TANG Owen S. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% - -
62 SONG Aiden S. - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 10% 3% - -
63 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 4% 15% 27% 27% 17% 8% 2% - - - - - -
64 HE Patrick - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
65 LEE Jacob J 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
66 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - - - 2% 8% 20% 30% 25% 12% 2%
67 GOOR Julian - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
68 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 4% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
69 HUTH Jacob 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
70 BRUK Peter J. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
71 LI Matthew 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
72 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 1% 5% 13% 24% 27% 20% 8% 2% -
73 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 21% 10% 3% - -
74 CHEN Ziyuan - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
75 TIYA BIAYA K. 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
76 KIM Ryan Y. - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 27% 18% 7% 2% - -
77 CO Dylan - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
78 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
79 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - -
79 STANLEY Mason B. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
81 BOURTIS James S. - < 1% - 3% 15% 39% 43%
82 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 1% 5% 16% 27% 27% 17% 6% 1% - -
83 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
84 ZHENG Alan H. - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
85 ROZALSKI Eli 5% 21% 32% 26% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - -
86 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 3% 11% 23% 28% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
87 SONG Noel 2% 10% 24% 30% 22% 10% 3% - - - - - -
88 CANLAS Nathan - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% - - -
89 MATSAKH Philip - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - -
90 JAIN Aditya - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% - -
91 SENIC Lucas - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% - -
92 KIAYIAS Aris 1% 9% 24% 31% 23% 10% 3% - - - - -
93 JIANG Owen - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
94 WONG Adrian - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 9% 2% - -
95 BARMAKOV Bogdan - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - -
96 WU Alistair - 2% 10% 22% 28% 22% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
97 HUANG Jonathan 3% 17% 30% 28% 15% 5% 1% - - - - - -
98 WU Alber Y. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
99 SINGH Dayaal - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
100 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
101 KWON Ethan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
102 LI Toby 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
103 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
104 KORABLIN Anton - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
104 HAN Changhee 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
106 DEGROOT Blake 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
107 JINHUI Cai - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
108 KELLY William J. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
109 ZHANG Aaron - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
110 PARK Rion 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
111 COELHO Cristiano P. - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
111 NICOLETTI Luca - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
113 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1%
114 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 15% 44% 32% 8% 1%
115 ISOLANI Gregorio - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
116 LO Conrad - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
117 WUJASTYK Leon 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
118 TANG Albert 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
119 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
120 KLOTZ Isaiah - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
121 LEE Eugene 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
122 SEZER Kaya - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
123 SPROWLES Cameron D. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
124 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
124 LIU Ethan - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
126 LE Jacob H. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
127 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
128 RAUTUREAU Hugo 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
129 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
129 TANG August L. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
131 AHN Jun - 2% 10% 28% 37% 19% 3%
131 PARRISH Evan 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
133 SIMONOV Andrii - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
134 PINCHENG Yao 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
135 LEE Brendan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
136 TAHOUN Mostafa 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
137 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
137 ROSE Ben - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
139 LEUNG Ethan 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
140 ALLEN Henry G. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
141 KIM Harrison 2% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
141 CHEN Matthew 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
143 KIM Brian 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
144 MOHAMED Murad - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
145 TANG Alexander L. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
146 LIU Derek 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
147 DERRICK Blake - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
148 KONG Luculentus X. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
149 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
149 LI Matthew 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
151 XU Andy P. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
152 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
153 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
154 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 2% 19% 52% 27%
155 MIN Eric 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
156 LING Eddie 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
157 NUNNINK Phillip W. 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
158 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
159 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
160 DIVITO Dylan - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
161 SHAGIDANYAN German - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
162 COSTE Fabien - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
163 QUINONES Diego A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
164 BAI Brian 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
165 HUANG Eythan 9% 35% 41% 14% 1% -
166 GONG Benjamin - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
167 XU Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
168 WONG Yuheng Isaac 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
169 LIN James G. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
170 LI Bradley 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
171 BARTEL Jacob L. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
171 CANO Marcos E. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
173 SIMONOV Timofey 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
174 FINLEY Dylan 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
175 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
175 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
177 QIU Zhaocheng 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
178 LIPPMAN Sam 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
179 WANG Rory 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
180 TAN Xinlai 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
181 HABBOUB Qusai - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
182 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
183 PARK Sky 42% 43% 14% 2% - -
184 LIN Xilong 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
185 KIM Teo 64% 32% 4% - - -
186 BAE Kevin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
187 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
187 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
189 XIE Buster 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
190 KIM Daniel Y. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
191 CHENG Ethan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
192 FUKUDA Diego 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
193 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
194 ROUNTREE Rob 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
195 YAO Bradley 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
196 ORLOV Dmitriy 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
197 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
198 ASHIDA Tomoaki 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
199 YI William W. 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
200 HAINES Ethan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
201 WONG Evan 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
202 SHENG Dalton 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
203 CHUANG Oscar 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
203 WANDJI Noah 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
203 ZHANG Jacob 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
206 HAYES Stewart 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
207 GÉLINAS Jonathan 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
208 PARKER Isaiah 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
209 TALASILA Arush 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
210 GORDON William L. 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
210 LO Preston 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
212 FENG Michael 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
213 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
214 CHENG Jonathan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
215 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
215 BOYKO Miles 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
217 LI Aaron 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
218 BAILEY William F. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
218 LIM Lance Jeremiah 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
220 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
221 WONG Garrick G. 6% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
222 LEE Jonah 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
223 NEWELL Ian A. - 4% 25% 44% 23% 3%
224 ZHONG Maxwell 27% 46% 24% 4% - -
225 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
226 CHOI Ethan 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
227 JURMAN Therin 70% 27% 3% - - -
228 WENDLER Alexander J. - 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
229 YANG Andy H. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
230 MAO Lucas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
230 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
232 ELKOUSY Laith H. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
233 PYO Michael M. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
233 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
235 UZGIRIS Kovas 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
236 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
237 PAN Henry 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
237 ZHANG Matthew 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
239 RAJ Jay 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
240 HAMILTON Brock B. 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
240 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
242 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
243 ZHAO Adam 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
243 ABRAMKIN Tim 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
245 LEE Christopher T. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
246 HUA Aaron 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
247 TSAY Jordan R. 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
248 SMITH Grant D. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
248 SISINNI Leonardo 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
250 HOWLAND Jonas 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
251 REYES Mauricio 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
252 LIU William 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
253 VANOYEN Dominick 13% 50% 30% 6% - -
254 BERNARD Cohen 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
255 DINSAY Kristjan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
255 CHO Xzander 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
255 CHEN Ethan 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% - -
258 SUAREZ Adrian 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
259 LEE Connor C. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
260 ALONSO Vinicius 23% 46% 26% 5% - -
260 HICKEY Connor 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
262 WYSZYNSKI Marek B. < 1% - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
262 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
264 JAUME Andrei 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
264 JIANG Bowang 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.