January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
2 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
5 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
6 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
7 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 27% 9% 2% -
8 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
9 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
10 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% < 1% -
11 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
12 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
13 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
14 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 57% 28% 8% 1%
15 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
16 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4%
17 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 38% 15% 3% -
18 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 31% 11% 2%
19 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
20 BAS Liam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
21 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 66% 37% 13% 2%
22 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
23 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 58% 30% 9% 1%
24 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 36% 13% 2%
25 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 45% 21% 7% 2% - -
26 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 59% 30% 9% 1%
27 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
28 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 13% 3% -
29 HASHIMOTO Shoei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 77% 49% 20% 4%
30 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 12% 3% -
31 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
32 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
33 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
34 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
35 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 36% 12% 2% -
36 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 66% 39% 17% 5% 1% - -
37 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
38 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 LI Solin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% -
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 55% 29% 11% 3% - -
41 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 46% 21% 6% 1% -
42 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
43 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 46% 20% 5% -
44 CHALUT Etienne 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 49% 26% 10% 3% 1% - - -
45 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 72% 42% 14% 2%
46 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 44% 20% 6% 1% - -
47 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 22% 7% 1% -
48 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 48% 24% 8% 2% -
49 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 70% 42% 16% 3%
50 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 38% 14% 3% -
50 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
52 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - -
53 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 41% 17% 5% 1% - -
54 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 10% 1%
55 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
56 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
57 YANG Luao 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
58 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 40% 18% 5% 1% - -
59 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 41% 19% 6% 1% - -
60 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 40% 18% 6% 1% - -
61 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 34% 14% 4% 1% - -
62 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 33% 13% 3% - -
63 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 96% 81% 55% 28% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
64 HE Patrick 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 36% 15% 5% 1% - - -
65 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
66 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 69% 39% 14% 2%
67 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 29% 10% 2% -
68 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 34% 13% 4% 1% - - -
69 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
70 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
71 LI Matthew 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
72 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 30% 11% 2% -
73 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 34% 13% 3% - -
74 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
75 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
76 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 9% 2% - -
77 CO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - -
78 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 37% 16% 4% 1% -
79 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - -
79 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
81 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
82 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 52% 25% 8% 2% - -
83 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 17% 5% 1% -
84 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 42% 19% 5% 1% -
85 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 95% 74% 42% 16% 4% 1% - - - - - -
86 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 97% 85% 62% 34% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
87 SONG Noel 100% 98% 88% 64% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - - -
88 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 45% 21% 7% 1% - - -
89 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - -
90 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 44% 20% 6% 1% - -
91 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 43% 19% 5% 1% - -
92 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 99% 90% 67% 36% 13% 3% 1% - - - -
93 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - -
94 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 31% 11% 3% - -
95 BARMAKOV Bogdan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
96 WU Alistair 100% 100% 97% 87% 64% 36% 15% 4% 1% - - - -
97 HUANG Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 50% 21% 6% 1% - - - - - -
98 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
99 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
100 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
101 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
102 LI Toby 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
103 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
104 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
104 HAN Changhee 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
106 DEGROOT Blake 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
107 JINHUI Cai 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
108 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
109 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
110 PARK Rion 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
111 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
111 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
113 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
114 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 84% 41% 9% 1%
115 ISOLANI Gregorio 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
116 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
117 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
118 TANG Albert 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
119 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
120 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
121 LEE Eugene 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
122 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
123 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
124 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
124 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
126 LE Jacob H. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
127 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
128 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
129 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
129 TANG August L. 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
131 AHN Jun 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
131 PARRISH Evan 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
133 SIMONOV Andrii 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
134 PINCHENG Yao 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
135 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
136 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
137 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
137 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
139 LEUNG Ethan 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
140 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
141 KIM Harrison 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
141 CHEN Matthew 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
143 KIM Brian 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
144 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
145 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
146 LIU Derek 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
147 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
148 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
149 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
149 LI Matthew 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
151 XU Andy P. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
152 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
153 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
154 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 27%
155 MIN Eric 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
156 LING Eddie 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
157 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
158 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% 1%
159 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
160 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
161 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
162 COSTE Fabien 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
163 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
164 BAI Brian 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
165 HUANG Eythan 100% 91% 56% 15% 1% -
166 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
167 XU Ethan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
168 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
169 LIN James G. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
170 LI Bradley 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
171 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
171 CANO Marcos E. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
173 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
174 FINLEY Dylan 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
175 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
175 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
177 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
178 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
179 WANG Rory 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
180 TAN Xinlai 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
181 HABBOUB Qusai 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
182 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
183 PARK Sky 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
184 LIN Xilong 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
185 KIM Teo 100% 36% 5% - - -
186 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
187 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
187 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
189 XIE Buster 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
190 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
191 CHENG Ethan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
192 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
193 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
194 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
195 YAO Bradley 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
196 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
197 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
198 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
199 YI William W. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
200 HAINES Ethan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
201 WONG Evan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
202 SHENG Dalton 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
203 CHUANG Oscar 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
203 WANDJI Noah 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
203 ZHANG Jacob 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
206 HAYES Stewart 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
207 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
208 PARKER Isaiah 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
209 TALASILA Arush 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
210 GORDON William L. 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
210 LO Preston 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
212 FENG Michael 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
213 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
214 CHENG Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
215 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
215 BOYKO Miles 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
217 LI Aaron 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
218 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
218 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
220 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
221 WONG Garrick G. 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
222 LEE Jonah 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
223 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
224 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 73% 28% 4% - -
225 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
226 CHOI Ethan 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
227 JURMAN Therin 100% 30% 4% - - -
228 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
229 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
230 MAO Lucas 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
230 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
232 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
233 PYO Michael M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 2%
233 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
235 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
236 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
237 PAN Henry 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
237 ZHANG Matthew 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
239 RAJ Jay 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
240 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
240 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
242 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
243 ZHAO Adam 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
243 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
245 LEE Christopher T. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
246 HUA Aaron 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
247 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
248 SMITH Grant D. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
248 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
250 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
251 REYES Mauricio 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
252 LIU William 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
253 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 87% 37% 7% 1% -
254 BERNARD Cohen 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
255 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
255 CHO Xzander 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
255 CHEN Ethan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
258 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
259 LEE Connor C. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
260 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
260 HICKEY Connor 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
262 WYSZYNSKI Marek B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
262 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
264 JAUME Andrei 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
264 JIANG Bowang 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.